NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8fac6008bd93871d0e948f30f3cc172f9fb2786fe3beac0937af2073ba76bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Vikings, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,856,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,966,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,856,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Vikings | 15c | 1,167,086$173,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173,315.76 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…b1f1backed Vikings | 15c | 682,924$105,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,447.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…8dcfbacked Vikings | 15c | 676,359$101,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,407.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Vikings | 14c | 120,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.98 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Vikings | 14c | 64,493$9,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,029 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Vikings | 0c | 18,327$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…ff52backed Vikings | 14c | 17,290$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Vikings | 14c | 17,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Vikings | 14c | 15,006$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Vikings | 15c | 14,956$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.98 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Vikings | 7c | 14,898$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.97 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…97f2backed Vikings | 15c | 13,371$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Vikings | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Vikings | 14c | 10,714$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…1583backed Vikings | 14c | 8,889$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c2…0adabacked Vikings | 14c | 7,984$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…abc0backed Vikings | 14c | 7,550$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…598dbacked Vikings | 13c | 7,180$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Vikings | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vikings | 11c | 6,584$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.57 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vikings | 11c | 6,450$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.1 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Vikings | 1c | 5,538$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vikings | 4c | 5,502$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.18 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Vikings | 16c | 5,477$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.72 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Vikings | 2c | 5,025$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Vikings | 11c | 4,695$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Vikings | 13c | 4,563$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.68 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Vikings | 13c | 4,470$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…e92dbacked Vikings | 13c | 4,347$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…d95bbacked Vikings | 15c | 4,333$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Vikings | 12c | 4,208$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Vikings | 14c | 4,137$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Vikings | 14c | 4,109$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.26 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Vikings | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Vikings | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f78…1990backed Vikings | 13c | 3,939$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Vikings | 14c | 3,572$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4c…f1a4backed Vikings | 13c | 3,554$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vikings | 8c | 3,541$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…d775backed Vikings | 13c | 3,377$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vikings | 15c | 3,350$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.53 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…fb53backed Vikings | 13c | 3,288$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Vikings | 9c | 3,130$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…0e47backed Vikings | 14c | 3,067$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0000…db52backed Vikings | 15c | 3,041$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Vikings | 8c | 3,008$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a3d3backed Vikings | 13c | 2,921$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Vikings | 5c | 2,900$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Vikings | 14c | 2,751$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.13 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 12c | 2,724$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.82 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdf…d2f3backed Vikings | 15c | 2,701$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.19 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Vikings | 14c | 2,700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.24 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Vikings | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Vikings | 11c | 2,432$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.88 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Vikings | 9c | 2,415$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.62 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…f3d5backed Vikings | 13c | 2,321$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Vikings | 16c | 2,300$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked Vikings | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…ffb1backed Vikings | 15c | 2,199$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Vikings | 17c | 2,059$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Vikings | 15c | 2,033$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…26aebacked Vikings | 16c | 2,016$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Vikings | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Vikings | 14c | 2,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Vikings | 16c | 1,910$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Vikings | 15c | 1,909$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…19d7backed Vikings | 13c | 1,866$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Vikings | 14c | 1,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Vikings | 15c | 1,623$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Vikings | 16c | 1,576$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…0f1cbacked Vikings | 13c | 1,559$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Vikings | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…752ebacked Vikings | 13c | 1,489$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…f189backed Vikings | 17c | 1,471$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed Vikings | 14c | 1,421$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…d7b8backed Vikings | 14c | 1,357$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…f8ddbacked Vikings | 16c | 1,354$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…670dbacked Vikings | 13c | 1,328$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…5c3cbacked Vikings | 15c | 1,320$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Vikings | 15c | 1,275$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb59e…17d7backed Vikings | 14c | 1,219$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Vikings | 16c | 1,216$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Vikings | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Vikings | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Vikings | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Vikings | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Vikings | 17c | 993.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Vikings | 16c | 975.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Vikings | 4c | 911.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Vikings | 18c | 888.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vikings | 16c | 833.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Vikings | 14c | 801.76$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Vikings | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…bf2dbacked Vikings | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Vikings | 15c | 785.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Vikings | 15c | 764$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed Vikings | 15c | 745.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…9c05backed Vikings | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +104%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Vikings | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Vikings | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vikings vs. Seahawksthis page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)Seahawks won
- Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.