NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eb65a7c81edac96343f713c7a3e0d74cb40be66911f19a2dae9a41bf01ed663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 51c | 36,328$18,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,527.04 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 32,080$15,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,522.08 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Over | 52c | 15,096$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 49c | 14,928$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,613.27 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 14,367$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,327.17 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 13,953$7,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,255.56 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 48c | 13,294$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,912.98 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 11,986$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,132.69 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.98 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 5,420$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Over | 51c | 5,077$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Over | 51c | 4,588$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.88 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 4,336$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.43 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 50c | 3,551$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.56 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 2,883$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.63 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Over | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 48c | 1,718$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.36 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,655$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.25 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,632$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.33 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 50c | 1,400$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Over | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 48c | 1,248$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.96 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 1,190$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.72 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 48c | 1,181$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 52c | 831.06$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.91 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Over | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 729.38$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.28 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Under | 50c | 720.4$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.2 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 574.98$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.24 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Over | 48c | 498$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.04 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 51c | 440$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Over | 52c | 430$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Over | 52c | 231.83$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…fe7bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 52c | 194.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…5fd6backed Over | 51c | 131.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 52c | 98.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Over | 52c | 97.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…5332backed Over | 51c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…5e1dbacked Over | 53c | 82.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Under | 51c | 70.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 50c | 68.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Over | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9aa…e1debacked Over | 52c | 53.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Over | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…f83fbacked Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54c1…812fbacked Under | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31be…2ed2backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 50c | 33.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 26.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +103%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…e936backed Over | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Over | 52c | 24.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Over | 50c | 21.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…e0dfbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)Seahawks won
- Vikings vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.