TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Over51c36,328$18,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,527.0419553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c32,080$15,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,522.0886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over52c15,096$7,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,85018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under49c14,928$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,613.279245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under49c14,367$7,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,327.1744652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c13,953$7,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,255.5631240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Under48c13,294$6,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,912.984837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c11,986$5,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,132.691,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.9851352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa7…adbfbacked Over51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c5,420$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,78717251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Over51c5,077$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.241241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Over51c4,588$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.885756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c4,336$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.4353253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over50c3,551$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.5615555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under50c3,333$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.54847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c2,883$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.6354451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe796…7f5ebacked Over49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9703724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9911452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90016648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c1,750$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.51,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under48c1,718$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.3622450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,655$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.2577052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c1,632$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.3356852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over50c1,400$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70439242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over51c1,400$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71426648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Over51c1,373$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under48c1,248$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.967143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under51c1,190$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.7260049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under48c1,181$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.194250%21 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under49c1,143$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.9339754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51028447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under52c831.06$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.9110462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Under51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922540%10 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Over51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Over52c750$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39028556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c729.38$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.2875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Under50c720.4$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.213450%67 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3126246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under49c574.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2483447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked Over48c498$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.044546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over51c440$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.49444.7%42 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Over52c430$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.34647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1619459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20413641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003560%21 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Over52c231.83$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.557542.7%32 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10219638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10213347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008650%43 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a9…fe7bbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over52c194.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016243.8%71 W · 91 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b24…5fd6backed Over51c131.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Under49c100.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2623024.3%56 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5224352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7052…74aebacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Over52c98.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.316551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010940.4%44 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Over52c97.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.575261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa4…5332backed Over51c91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under49c86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8641450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ce…5e1dbacked Over53c82.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.813560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c24…8c06backed Under51c70.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.352263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under50c68.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3424243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b26…6900backed Over51c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Under50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9aa…e1debacked Over52c53.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd3…c5f4backed Over53c51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88557.6%49 W · 36 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.516360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdbf…f83fbacked Over50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513339.8%53 W · 80 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54c1…812fbacked Under50c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed Over52c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.327955.7%44 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31be…2ed2backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8520555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3413357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under50c33.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.838653.5%46 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8315556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.311253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c26.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6717656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under49c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2616957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under49c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.263464.7%22 W · 12 L+7.6wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+103%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3c44…e936backed Over51c24.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-47.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Over52c24.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Over50c21.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.632050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010555.2%58 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…e0dfbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.