NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e24b8d5c7da33c186e216ef04e758b5b92eaa21c5a6afabae3aaa8c3b46c956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 48c | 36,501$17,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,505.26 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seahawks | 52c | 18,410$9,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,748.92 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seahawks | 52c | 6,744$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.26 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Seahawks | 52c | 5,319$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.12 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Vikings | 46c | 4,990$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.4 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks | 53c | 4,465$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.87 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Seahawks | 52c | 4,276$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.29 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Seahawks | 55c | 3,640$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.5 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 45c | 3,035$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.88 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Seahawks | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Vikings | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Seahawks | 52c | 1,132$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.36 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Seahawks | 52c | 1,001$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.75 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Vikings | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vikings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Seahawks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Seahawks | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vikings | 46c | 556$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Vikings | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks | 44c | 495.27$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.35 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vikings | 54c | 448.83$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vikings | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Vikings | 55c | 363.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Seahawks | 42c | 310$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Seahawks | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Seahawks | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Vikings | 46c | 249.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Seahawks | 57c | 238.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Seahawks | 45c | 224.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Vikings | 54c | 185.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Vikings | 47c | 161$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Vikings | 49c | 159.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Seahawks | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Vikings | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Vikings | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Vikings | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Seahawks | 48c | 70.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…1df2backed Vikings | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Seahawks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Seahawks | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Vikings | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Vikings | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…6197backed Seahawks | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Seahawks | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…5f32backed Vikings | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed Vikings | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…e936backed Seahawks | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Seahawks | 55c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Seahawks | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)Seahawks won
- Vikings vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.