NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab2f211f067340a5ce28f181387f6c658ad308162e5ad4bb9fbf3582dd1cfe87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $535,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 51c | 320,984$163,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,680.04 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Seahawks | 49c | 183,283$89,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,479.37 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Vikings | 50c | 89,940$44,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,969.94 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Seahawks | 50c | 38,913$19,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,456.5 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Seahawks | 50c | 29,974$14,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,056.92 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Seahawks | 50c | 28,972$14,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,486 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Seahawks | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Seahawks | 49c | 19,459$9,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,923.99 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Vikings | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Seahawks | 49c | 10,343$5,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.68 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Seahawks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Seahawks | 49c | 9,553$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks | 49c | 9,129$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.76 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Vikings | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Vikings | 50c | 8,888$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Seahawks | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Seahawks | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Seahawks | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Seahawks | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Seahawks | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Vikings | 51c | 6,823$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.72 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Seahawks | 50c | 6,070$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Seahawks | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Seahawks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Seahawks | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Seahawks | 49c | 4,300$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seahawks | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.31 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Seahawks | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Vikings | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Vikings | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Seahawks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Seahawks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Seahawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vikings | 49c | 1,960$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.59 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Seahawks | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seahawks | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Vikings | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Seahawks | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Seahawks | 49c | 1,324$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.05 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Seahawks | 50c | 1,239$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Seahawks | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Seahawks | 49c | 1,139$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.78 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vikings | 42c | 1,094$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.22 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Seahawks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Seahawks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Seahawks | 50c | 999.99$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Seahawks | 49c | 910.2$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.2 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Vikings | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Seahawks | 50c | 708.05$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.02 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Vikings | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Seahawks | 45c | 611.18$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Vikings | 50c | 527$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Seahawks | 57c | 507$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Vikings | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Vikings | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Seahawks | 49c | 440$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Vikings | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Seahawks | 49c | 383.4$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Seahawks | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Vikings | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Vikings | 44c | 342.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Vikings | 51c | 250$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Seahawks | 50c | 207$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Seahawks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Seahawks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Seahawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Seahawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Seahawks | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Vikings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…c1e5backed Seahawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Seahawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Seahawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Vikings | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Vikings | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Seahawks | 50c | 188.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…85eebacked Vikings | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Seahawks | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Seahawks | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Seahawks | 49c | 144.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…e115backed Seahawks | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Seahawks | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…fc05backed Seahawks | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seahawks | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Seahawks | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Vikings | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aad…18f4backed Seahawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Seahawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Seahawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Vikings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…7288backed Seahawks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Seahawks | 49c | 81.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Seahawks | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…630abacked Seahawks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Vikings | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Seahawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Vikings | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Vikings | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Seahawks | 50c | 35.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…2796backed Seahawks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)Seahawks won
- Vikings vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.