NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Lakers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c8381b9160bd8982e044eeaaf544fa62ad911a5dd58577492e1defb10c8b6b8

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Mavericks, Lakers
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,085,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,500,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,085,433 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,021 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Mavericks	31c	856,577$269,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269,118.14	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers	69c	654,723$450,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204,188.16	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Mavericks	30c	491,986$148,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,886.17	72	66.7%48 W · 24 L	+14.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+47%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks	30c	378,206$111,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111,863.43	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers	73c	374,382$272,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101,651.74	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85e5…6056backed Lakers	70c	226,187$159,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,034.26	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	70cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers	73c	160,701$117,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,423.62	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers	69c	150,798$104,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,090.23	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Lakers	67c	150,000$100,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,500	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Mavericks	32c	125,000$40,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,000	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Lakers	69c	120,365$83,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,313.15	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Mavericks	32c	110,625$35,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,400	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers	73c	109,443$79,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,908.32	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Lakers	69c	82,411$57,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,347.34	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Lakers	69c	80,684$55,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,012.18	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks	31c	80,000$25,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,064.89	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Mavericks	26c	78,331$20,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,183.02	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks	29c	74,873$21,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,683.23	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Lakers	74c	71,864$53,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,610.24	100	46%46 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+27%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Mavericks	31c	70,000$21,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,399.98	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Mavericks	31c	69,338$21,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,494.76	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks	31c	60,000$18,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,599.9	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Mavericks	31c	49,068$15,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,211.22	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Mavericks	32c	46,875$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Mavericks	31c	45,005$13,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,883.71	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks	19c	43,594$8,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,098.74	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Lakers	69c	42,000$28,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,020	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Lakers	70c	40,454$28,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,240.74	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Lakers	70c	40,000$27,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,200	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Lakers	70c	38,111$26,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,302.16	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Lakers	69c	35,510$24,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,907.86	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Mavericks	27c	35,324$9,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,549.81	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers	69c	35,108$24,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,883.48	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Mavericks	30c	35,000$10,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,500	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Lakers	69c	33,248$22,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,306.83	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Mavericks	8c	32,603$2,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,679.87	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks	26c	30,332$7,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,790.17	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Lakers	70c	30,200$21,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,194.5	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Lakers	70c	30,000$20,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,100	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mavericks	29c	30,000$8,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,700	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Lakers	68c	30,000$20,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,600	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks	25c	28,796$7,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,338.67	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers	74c	27,469$20,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,183.57	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Lakers	74c	25,600$18,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,656	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Mavericks	26c	25,600$6,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,655.9	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks	26c	25,555$6,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,538.73	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Mavericks	27c	25,000$6,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,830	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Lakers	73c	25,000$18,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,829.98	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Lakers	71c	25,000$17,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,249.91	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Mavericks	31c	24,719$7,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,611.3	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks	2c	24,300$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.61	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Mavericks	31c	23,000$7,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,090	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Mavericks	31c	22,817$7,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,177.33	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Lakers	72c	22,807$16,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,464.16	301	57.1%172 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Lakers	69c	21,950$15,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,804.5	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Lakers	72c	21,603$15,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,007.67	272	47.1%128 W · 144 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks	18c	20,957$3,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,696.78	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Mavericks	29c	20,500$5,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,945	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Lakers	71c	20,500$14,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,944.9	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+4.4wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb42…d373backed Mavericks	31c	20,001$6,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,200.31	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks	31c	20,000$6,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,200	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Lakers	69c	20,000$13,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,300	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks	27c	20,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.97	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks	28c	19,943$5,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,597.82	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Lakers	70c	18,960$13,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,690.53	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Lakers	69c	18,603$12,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,766.93	626	52.2%327 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Lakers	69c	18,512$12,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,738.57	133	57.9%77 W · 56 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Mavericks	31c	17,500$5,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,475	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers	70c	17,500$12,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,249.95	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751d…29e1backed Lakers	70c	17,314$12,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,214.35	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers	69c	17,164$11,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,320.88	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Lakers	69c	16,401$11,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,084.19	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Lakers	69c	16,181$11,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,968.11	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Mavericks	31c	16,129$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Mavericks	33c	15,971$5,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,265.76	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Mavericks	32c	15,728$5,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000.66	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Lakers	72c	15,000$10,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,200	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers	68c	14,999$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,799.81	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Mavericks	28c	14,960$4,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,125.56	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Lakers	74c	14,940$11,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,898.46	147	38.1%56 W · 91 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b69…a9f2backed Lakers	69c	13,615$9,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,220.64	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks	1c	13,348$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.12	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers	74c	13,155$9,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,472.82	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Lakers	70c	13,100$9,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,980	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b06…fbf1backed Mavericks	31c	12,903$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks	26c	12,853$3,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,379.37	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Mavericks	2c	12,719$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.08	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers	69c	12,700$8,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,883.86	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Lakers	69c	12,506$8,690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,816.17	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Mavericks	31c	12,500$3,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,815	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	-9.4wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks	0c	12,176$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.53	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Mavericks	27c	12,047$3,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,285.45	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Mavericks	26c	11,700$3,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,042	97	58.8%57 W · 40 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Lakers	74c	11,700$8,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,041.99	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks	29c	11,572$3,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,358.44	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mavericks	31c	11,151$3,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,456.94	164	40.9%67 W · 97 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks	29c	11,000$3,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,190	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Mavericks	0c	10,543$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.42	191	47.1%90 W · 101 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Mavericks	28c	10,270$2,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,887.6	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+5.6wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mavericks vs. Lakersthis page
1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Mavericks won
1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Mavericks won
Caleb Martin: Points O/U 6.5No won
Caleb Martin: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 12.5No won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mavericks vs. Lakers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event