NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9fb53cd305c83b02db163ff0f21abd765e27654a214b71244804060fece2897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Under | 52c | 57,403$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,402.68 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 26,150$12,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,699.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 52c | 25,984$13,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,390.52 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 25,912$12,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,480.6 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 50c | 19,881$9,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,940.35 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 17,061$8,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,893.51 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 53c | 14,298$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.21 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 10,742$5,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.76 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 10,003$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.47 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 8,277$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 49c | 8,262$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.92 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.4 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 6,672$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 53c | 5,900$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 51c | 5,766$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.54 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 46c | 3,444$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.08 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 3,249$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.38 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 52c | 3,243$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 2,859$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.36 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 51c | 2,769$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Over | 45c | 2,438$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.81 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 2,105$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 54c | 1,764$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.61 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,653$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,536$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 52c | 1,481$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 1,264$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.9 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Over | 54c | 1,093$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…0b63backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 552$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.21 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Over | 53c | 550.94$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 51c | 532.08$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.72 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 46c | 507.71$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.55 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 51c | 374.51$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 287.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Under | 49c | 228.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 53c | 215.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 49c | 206.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 185.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 49c | 119.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 85.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 51c | 78.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…07f7backed Over | 51c | 77.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 45c | 74.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 51c | 68.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 50c | 60.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 53c | 59.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5304…61cfbacked Under | 50c | 58.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…7186backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Under | 50c | 49.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…5803backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 52c | 44.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Under | 53c | 44.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 68c | 44.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 51c | 43.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Under | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 33.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 50c | 30.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 50c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 51c | 25.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Over | 49c | 25.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db5…ee52backed Under | 55c | 24.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Over | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 52c | 24.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 23.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 46c | 23.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 50c | 22.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 51c | 19.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Caleb Martin: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Caleb Martin: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. LakersLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.