NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bbab86441f7ef9686b452cf30d75e0f93f44e9567aa5b1fafb0a6696330f644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ea…bea2backed Lakers | 41c | 27,845$11,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,545.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 59c | 16,796$9,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,905.07 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks | 59c | 13,504$7,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,967.36 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef3…3cefbacked Mavericks | 57c | 3,420$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…909fbacked Lakers | 43c | 3,420$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 40c | 3,094$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,942$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.93 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Lakers | 46c | 2,646$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.82 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Lakers | 44c | 2,298$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.8 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Lakers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd60…70b9backed Lakers | 46c | 2,061$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 58c | 1,562$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Mavericks | 70c | 1,315$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.2 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Mavericks | 60c | 1,294$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.24 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lakers | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Lakers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Mavericks | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 41c | 967.66$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Mavericks | 60c | 835.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 30c | 817.54$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.85 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 41c | 709.17$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 48c | 657$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.64 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Lakers | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Mavericks | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Mavericks | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 59c | 523.32$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 56c | 510.01$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks | 28c | 477.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Mavericks | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Lakers | 46c | 424$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.96 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Lakers | 46c | 420.44$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.08 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Mavericks | 59c | 414.18$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.37 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Mavericks | 58c | 387.77$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.91 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…82f4backed Mavericks | 60c | 348.02$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…4890backed Mavericks | 60c | 341.92$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…afe4backed Lakers | 41c | 340.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f1…3f47backed Mavericks | 60c | 338.51$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4b8bbacked Lakers | 41c | 336.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…0dccbacked Lakers | 41c | 336.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Mavericks | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Lakers | 13c | 292.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.22 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Lakers | 42c | 235.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +238.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…302abacked Lakers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Mavericks | 60c | 218.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 41c | 203.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…e6e5backed Lakers | 46c | 194.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Mavericks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Lakers | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…cc5bbacked Mavericks | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…a28dbacked Mavericks | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…6102backed Mavericks | 60c | 165.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Mavericks | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Mavericks | 61c | 144.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 40c | 141.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Mavericks | 59c | 131$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…3fd1backed Mavericks | 60c | 123.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Lakers | 41c | 121.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Lakers | 52c | 119.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Mavericks | 60c | 112.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 41c | 112.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Lakers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 273 | 24.5%67 W · 206 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Lakers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Mavericks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 232 | 46.1%107 W · 125 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Mavericks | 60c | 99.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Mavericks | 60c | 98.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Mavericks | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 57c | 86.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…b7e2backed Mavericks | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Lakers | 41c | 82.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Mavericks | 60c | 80.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Mavericks | 59c | 79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Mavericks | 60c | 72.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 40c | 71.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Mavericks | 60c | 71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Mavericks | 60c | 70.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Lakers | 58c | 68.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Mavericks | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Mavericks | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Mavericks | 60c | 61.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Mavericks | 66c | 60.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks | 55c | 59.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Mavericks | 68c | 50.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…3fbbbacked Mavericks | 60c | 49.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Lakers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Lakers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Lakers | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Mavericks | 59c | 45.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks | 65c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Mavericks | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…51cabacked Mavericks | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…742dbacked Mavericks | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Mavericks | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Lakers | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Mavericks | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Caleb Martin: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Caleb Martin: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. LakersLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.