NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc87026ad4d2674d55e5e78cd2ed8cd47aa45feefadf90ec6a1c740f3b6321457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $763,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $834,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 48c | 122,819$58,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,955.05 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Mavericks | 53c | 119,000$62,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,569.98 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 49c | 106,507$51,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,509.78 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lakers | 47c | 92,307$43,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,747.86 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 50c | 66,631$33,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,087.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Lakers | 55c | 63,921$35,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,904.66 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 63,824$32,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,822.9 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Mavericks | 52c | 44,384$23,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,079.64 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks | 51c | 41,248$21,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,036.49 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 37,253$19,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,371.44 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks | 53c | 30,000$15,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,874.51 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 47c | 19,840$9,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,510.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Mavericks | 52c | 19,000$9,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,880 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 49c | 17,542$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,946.42 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 46c | 15,360$7,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,006.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Lakers | 48c | 14,787$7,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,689.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Mavericks | 52c | 12,728$6,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,618.65 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 47c | 12,565$5,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,933.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Lakers | 48c | 12,467$5,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,482.67 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lakers | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lakers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Mavericks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Lakers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.86 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 43c | 7,135$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 49c | 7,053$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Lakers | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mavericks | 52c | 6,909$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.66 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 47c | 6,276$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 52c | 5,607$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.43 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Lakers | 57c | 5,418$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Lakers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Lakers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 48c | 4,450$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Lakers | 48c | 4,401$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.28 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Mavericks | 23c | 4,203$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.39 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Lakers | 63c | 4,200$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.38 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,150$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Lakers | 48c | 3,340$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.03 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.31 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Lakers | 55c | 3,236$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.39 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Lakers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 52c | 2,907$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.64 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,809$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.63 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lakers | 40c | 2,294$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.61 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Lakers | 48c | 2,280$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,109$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.29 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Mavericks | 25c | 2,008$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.16 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,919$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.98 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,917$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Lakers | 54c | 1,861$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.27 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Lakers | 48c | 1,854$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.91 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,800$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,779$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.84 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mavericks | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.82 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Lakers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,471$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,467$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.84 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 49c | 1,391$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Lakers | 48c | 1,369$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.75 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,295$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.52 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…21f2backed Lakers | 43c | 1,247$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Lakers | 56c | 1,062$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.39 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,049$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Lakers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,031$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.19 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,003$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.8 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Mavericks | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Mavericks | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Mavericks | 53c | 950$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Lakers | 53c | 950$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…414fbacked Mavericks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed Lakers | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Lakers | 53c | 902.04$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.98 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Lakers | 48c | 800$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 45c | 772.81$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Lakers | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 53c | 666.34$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.18 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Lakers | 50c | 600$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed Mavericks | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Lakers | 49c | 574.83$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…1fa0backed Lakers | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lakers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Mavericks | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Lakers | 50c | 496.96$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.48 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Caleb Martin: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Caleb Martin: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. LakersLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.