Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c0f1a5d3286148b7f3514dd43f497598e721f01015ec9698892a734b9cb6d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 64c | 33,111$21,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,895.37 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 2c | 23,135$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.15 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…d136backed No | 79c | 10,137$7,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…f898backed Yes | 46c | 10,010$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 66c | 6,967$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.46 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…5785backed Yes | 5c | 6,041$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cd…77c1backed No | 68c | 5,968$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 10c | 5,500$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 36c | 5,368$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.05 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 38c | 4,000$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.85 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 23c | 3,804$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.26 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,284$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…95d3backed No | 27c | 2,590$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…d95bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…4ed0backed Yes | 3c | 2,222$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 65c | 2,024$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.39 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4671…ab35backed Yes | 2c | 1,794$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc44…1a25backed Yes | 13c | 1,615$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 65c | 1,314$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.15 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,223$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…70c1backed Yes | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…eaaebacked Yes | 41c | 1,176$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.23 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,175$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 11c | 1,092$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 58c | 1,072$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.07 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,030$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,011$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…6d1bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,001$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 853.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…5558backed Yes | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 5c | 766.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 69c | 749.97$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 745.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c7…36afbacked Yes | 26c | 742.5$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 27c | 740.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…996dbacked Yes | 2c | 706.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 6c | 700$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…2367backed Yes | 2c | 699.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 12c | 650$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…de22backed Yes | 6c | 632.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc749…e803backed Yes | 17c | 585.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…7984backed Yes | 3c | 566.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…afddbacked Yes | 22c | 536.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…929abacked Yes | 3c | 526.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 26c | 519.37$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 29c | 505.56$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 12c | 484.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…6f8dbacked Yes | 3c | 428.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 71c | 426$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.34 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…3a52backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +179.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…db93backed Yes | 4c | 409.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 26c | 380$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…c97ebacked No | 60c | 343$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 60c | 336.12$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 50c | 326.23$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0171…7f5ebacked Yes | 12c | 316.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…3592backed Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 65c | 279$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 73c | 272.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb646…0cf9backed No | 43c | 263.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…5743backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…dd3ebacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 4c | 248.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 239$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…7aedbacked Yes | 59c | 228.36$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…7758backed No | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 34c | 221$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…44f5backed Yes | 16c | 202$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…bd5cbacked No | 55c | 200.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…73e8backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e68…357ebacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…afe2backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5701…463abacked Yes | 11c | 188.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…7db1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 70c | 180.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…b882backed No | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…494bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749c…65b8backed Yes | 33c | 156.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2f…b5d8backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…25e8backed No | 63c | 155.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…2adebacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d97…8eccbacked Yes | 45c | 149.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…7443backed Yes | 65c | 144.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99b8…1cd2backed Yes | 33c | 121.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cd…a591backed Yes | 14c | 113$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…4152backed Yes | 23c | 110.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c4…6a2cbacked Yes | 28c | 108.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 36c | 106.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…7f37backed Yes | 19c | 105.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 8-14?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 8-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.