TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Alabama vs. Indiana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indianaof Alabama, Indiana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,171,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,166,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,171,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 667 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5350…2fdabacked Alabama30c590,000$178,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178,814.433345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Alabama28c336,009$94,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,803.1368440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Indiana70c327,300$228,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,714.8521055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Indiana69c209,914$144,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,951.9411849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Alabama25c205,000$51,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,499.997846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e5e…4f34backed Alabama30c183,600$55,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,080250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Indiana70c156,720$109,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,283.213857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Indiana68c156,627$106,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,969.443951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Alabama29c147,176$43,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,031.5193548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Alabama6c134,849$7,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,507.8524229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Indiana70c122,958$85,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,116.861546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Indiana70c122,221$85,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,666.2432745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Indiana70c106,894$74,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,068.343354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Indiana69c100,000$69,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,999.924163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Alabama30c75,977$22,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,7931931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Alabama16c60,171$9,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,727.7226244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d19…733abacked Alabama2c51,337$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.351145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Alabama30c51,236$15,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,541.52528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Alabama30c49,060$14,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7182142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Indiana70c48,357$33,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,506.9910848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Indiana70c40,804$28,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,145.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Indiana71c40,000$28,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,6006046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Alabama0c37,712$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.61490%0 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Alabama1c34,807$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.631040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Indiana70c34,500$24,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,440.15851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Indiana70c34,130$23,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,23920450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Indiana70c30,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00010046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Alabama24c28,715$7,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,015.4313933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Alabama2c27,341$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64213149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Indiana70c25,000$17,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5502650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama10c24,075$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.519842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Indiana64c23,477$15,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,451.743275%24 W · 8 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Alabama29c22,756$6,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.352152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Indiana70c21,584$15,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,430.8738450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Alabama21c21,059$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3507136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alabama31c20,123$6,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,209.3862843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Alabama9c19,999$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.931421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Alabama19c19,456$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,678.5715252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x166a…e675backed Alabama20c18,638$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,685.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+93.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9c…57b3backed Indiana67c17,440$11,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,758.751172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Indiana75c17,056$12,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,304.3958850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Indiana71c16,895$11,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.455356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Indiana70c16,750$11,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,025850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Indiana70c16,393$11,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,917.914743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Alabama31c15,052$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,665.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alabama24c13,612$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,224.7940244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Alabama5c11,982$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.112733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde1…c3a4backed Alabama18c11,402$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Alabama16c11,331$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Indiana71c10,459$7,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.24977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+61.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Alabama1c10,152$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Alabama4c10,013$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.312050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Alabama18c10,000$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8252450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Alabama15c9,872$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.791250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Indiana71c9,836$6,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Alabama2c9,711$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.43476.4%3 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-67.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Indiana69c9,462$6,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Alabama20c9,415$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.1416234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Alabama31c9,000$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,79038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20aa…9a4abacked Alabama0c8,180$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Indiana71c8,000$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,36015751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Alabama27c7,432$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.571520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Alabama3c7,291$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.03790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Alabama30c7,267$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Alabama15c7,097$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.141553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alabama29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.9952641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Alabama15c6,128$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005028%14 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Indiana69c6,087$4,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.082,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Indiana71c5,984$4,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.81883.3%15 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+57.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Alabama31c5,959$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.323852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Indiana70c5,489$3,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b5…10b0backed Alabama32c5,135$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.711020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Alabama30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd2…31f4backed Indiana70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Alabama2c5,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Alabama30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Indiana70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana79c4,910$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.6248546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed Indiana69c4,831$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8189…6e97backed Alabama19c4,813$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9173237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Alabama30c4,616$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.021741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alabama9c4,403$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3154243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Alabama30c4,333$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Indiana76c4,188$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Alabama22c4,150$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.214836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf97e…da44backed Indiana63c4,121$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Alabama6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Indiana69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alabama15c3,978$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.7640541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Alabama31c3,908$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.428043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Indiana70c3,853$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Alabama0c3,765$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.312370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Indiana77c3,730$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.451968.4%13 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Indiana69c3,677$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.7215451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…a852backed Alabama1c3,676$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Indiana76c3,653$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.01540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Indiana71c3,634$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Alabama28c3,591$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Alabama30c3,583$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0752055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Indiana71c3,387$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.93060%18 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.