College Football · resolved market
O/U 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f90e30c22cfd0078e2544e3b1662d20a903c4486861cc378f764c66beabbcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 129,514$67,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,166.84 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 83,920$38,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,712.2 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,599.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Over | 48c | 57,185$27,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,589.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Over | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,499.98 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 55c | 42,954$23,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,233.69 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 53c | 37,736$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,735.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 33,292$17,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,171.11 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…3c06backed Under | 51c | 27,000$13,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…11bebacked Over | 49c | 27,000$13,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 56c | 26,928$15,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,856.04 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 23,883$12,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,464.05 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 44c | 14,591$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.14 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Under | 55c | 7,478$4,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 7,302$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.01 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 7,013$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.14 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Over | 21c | 4,687$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 2,721$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 10c | 2,034$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 78c | 1,879$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.57 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 1,634$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.39 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 13c | 1,408$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Under | 54c | 1,400$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 1,143$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.15 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…58ebbacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 56c | 905.98$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Under | 52c | 834.62$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 752.79$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 44c | 622.34$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.03 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 14c | 525.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Under | 70c | 456.52$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 73c | 403.23$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Over | 24c | 284$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 41c | 226.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked Under | 57c | 223.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 216$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 51c | 199.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…2f03backed Under | 55c | 175.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Under | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Over | 44c | 114.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…c62fbacked Under | 55c | 107.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 55c | 107.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Under | 57c | 107.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 105.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…d37abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…dffcbacked Under | 55c | 99.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed Under | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 56c | 94.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Under | 53c | 87.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 46c | 87.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 46c | 81.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 58c | 75.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Over | 49c | 74.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Over | 48c | 73.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 52c | 72.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Under | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…9ec3backed Under | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Under | 55c | 60.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 55c | 48.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…307abacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…dd1dbacked Under | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3f0abacked Under | 55c | 39.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…dad1backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…8260backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…c593backed Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 44c | 32.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c0efbacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 48.5this page
- Alabama vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5Under won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana (-6.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Indiana (-7.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.