College Football · resolved market
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf70c920368b689bdd16772f9eda0959708f8cbf18742602a936460be4af836da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,770,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,120,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,770,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Indiana | 49c | 903,836$441,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462,741.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Indiana | 49c | 593,192$290,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302,924.26 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Alabama | 51c | 519,281$262,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262,912.07 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Alabama | 51c | 518,184$265,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265,382.18 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Alabama | 51c | 330,294$168,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,115.15 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Indiana | 50c | 243,937$121,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,588.52 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama | 51c | 220,980$112,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,709.75 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Indiana | 49c | 160,000$78,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,799.98 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Indiana | 50c | 99,094$49,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,371.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Alabama | 52c | 96,123$49,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,984 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Alabama | 51c | 76,000$38,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,760 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Indiana | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,999.96 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Alabama | 52c | 42,000$21,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,670.01 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Alabama | 52c | 33,000$17,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,160 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Indiana | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Indiana | 49c | 28,000$13,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,240 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Alabama | 51c | 21,777$11,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,106.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama | 50c | 21,138$10,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,579.01 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Indiana | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Alabama | 52c | 19,300$10,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,035.79 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Alabama | 50c | 18,888$9,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,444 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Alabama | 52c | 18,171$9,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,364.98 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Alabama | 52c | 16,390$8,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,522.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Indiana | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Indiana | 49c | 15,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.99 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Alabama | 53c | 14,212$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Indiana | 48c | 13,332$6,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,932.56 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Indiana | 49c | 12,778$6,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,516.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Alabama | 49c | 11,241$5,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.16 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alabama | 52c | 10,010$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.04 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Alabama | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Alabama | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Indiana | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.98 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Alabama | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Alabama | 52c | 9,621$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Alabama | 50c | 9,600$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…e118backed Alabama | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Indiana | 49c | 8,824$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,471.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Indiana | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Alabama | 42c | 6,999$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.5 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Indiana | 49c | 6,820$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.01 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Indiana | 48c | 6,639$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.37 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Alabama | 41c | 5,846$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Indiana | 50c | 5,154$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.24 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Alabama | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Indiana | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Alabama | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed Indiana | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Indiana | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Alabama | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…286fbacked Alabama | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Alabama | 49c | 4,000$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Indiana | 49c | 3,918$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Alabama | 50c | 3,010$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Indiana | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Alabama | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Indiana | 49c | 2,418$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Indiana | 50c | 2,383$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.03 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Indiana | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Indiana | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Indiana | 49c | 2,040$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.29 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…f310backed Alabama | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Alabama | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Alabama | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Alabama | 51c | 1,822$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.22 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…c908backed Alabama | 40c | 1,772$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Indiana | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Alabama | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Alabama | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Alabama | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Indiana | 48c | 1,199$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…89e4backed Alabama | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Alabama | 52c | 1,171$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Alabama | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…78cfbacked Alabama | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Alabama | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Alabama | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Alabama | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alabama | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana | 48c | 884.67$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.02 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Alabama | 51c | 823$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.73 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Alabama | 15c | 821.31$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Indiana | 74c | 818.35$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…c593backed Alabama | 52c | 818$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Indiana | 49c | 791.84$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.84 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Alabama | 53c | 786.32$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Alabama | 64c | 781.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Alabama | 53c | 778$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.34 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Alabama | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Alabama | 48c | 734.86$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.85 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked Alabama | 51c | 676.97$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Alabama | 53c | 660.96$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Alabama | 52c | 625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana | 46c | 621.83$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.22 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Alabama | 50c | 599.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Indiana | 49c | 579.76$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.01 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Alabama | 52c | 578.5$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…d156backed Indiana | 49c | 547.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…68f3backed Alabama | 51c | 539.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Alabama | 52c | 530.28$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana (-7.5)this page
- Alabama vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5Under won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5Under won
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana (-6.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.