College Football · resolved market
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd18d17ac4ad683c2cd1b0d201ceb3d8c47283a237b56acbaf26c98c6cdac26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Alabama | 43c | 210,000$90,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,299.89 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Indiana | 57c | 202,379$115,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,025.43 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Indiana | 56c | 56,641$31,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,921.97 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Indiana | 57c | 35,088$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,087.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Alabama | 44c | 27,412$12,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,061.28 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Alabama | 43c | 21,711$9,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,420.44 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Alabama | 44c | 18,981$8,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,337.54 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama | 43c | 18,509$7,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,889.13 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…31f4backed Indiana | 58c | 13,925$8,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,878.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Indiana | 57c | 10,190$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,381.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Indiana | 58c | 9,655$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Alabama | 43c | 9,000$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Alabama | 44c | 8,998$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.28 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Alabama | 44c | 7,550$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.95 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama | 44c | 5,994$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.88 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Alabama | 44c | 4,965$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.3 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Indiana | 57c | 4,236$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.66 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Alabama | 43c | 3,768$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Indiana | 52c | 3,264$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.9 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Alabama | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Alabama | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Alabama | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Alabama | 44c | 2,150$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Alabama | 44c | 2,087$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Indiana | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Alabama | 43c | 1,827$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Indiana | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Indiana | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Indiana | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Indiana | 54c | 1,439$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.89 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alabama | 49c | 1,392$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.99 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Alabama | 43c | 1,228$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Indiana | 56c | 1,221$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.19 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Indiana | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama | 45c | 1,187$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.34 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana | 51c | 1,119$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.51 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Alabama | 42c | 980.66$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.88 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Indiana | 57c | 901.75$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Indiana | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…9122backed Indiana | 55c | 875$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Indiana | 58c | 823.01$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.66 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alabama | 43c | 814.12$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Alabama | 12c | 785$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Indiana | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Indiana | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Indiana | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alabama | 45c | 614.21$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.13 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Indiana | 57c | 550$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Indiana | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Indiana | 57c | 525.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Indiana | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Indiana | 56c | 506$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27dc…0102backed Alabama | 50c | 500.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Indiana | 47c | 500$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Alabama | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…3f81backed Alabama | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Indiana | 58c | 450$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…3ffabacked Alabama | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Alabama | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Indiana | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…081bbacked Indiana | 58c | 367$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked Indiana | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Alabama | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Indiana | 56c | 303.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Indiana | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…3ab9backed Indiana | 57c | 266.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Alabama | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Alabama | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alabama | 45c | 227.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed Indiana | 56c | 221.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Indiana | 58c | 218.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Indiana | 61c | 213.88$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Indiana | 56c | 213.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…1c24backed Alabama | 43c | 211.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Alabama | 43c | 209$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Alabama | 43c | 208.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Indiana | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Indiana | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Indiana | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Indiana | 55c | 196.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…5f29backed Indiana | 53c | 176.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Indiana | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Indiana | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Indiana | 57c | 172.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Alabama | 47c | 171.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…811ebacked Indiana | 59c | 152.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Alabama | 43c | 146.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Indiana | 55c | 145.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Indiana | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Indiana | 57c | 137.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Indiana | 56c | 119.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…ee8abacked Alabama | 30c | 116$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Alabama | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…aa64backed Alabama | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Alabama | 48c | 100.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Indiana | 53c | 100.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Alabama | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Alabama | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Indiana | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Indiana | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana (-6.5)this page
- Alabama vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5Under won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5Under won
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana (-7.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.