College Football · resolved market
Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41655f386dc980070cca31b415387c3422507ab2e014cbfe975c8ad9c0f26721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 51c | 68,685$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,685.29 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 61,177$29,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,965.74 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Over | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 49c | 24,297$11,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,905.63 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 21,294$10,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,412.09 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 17,045$8,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.6 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 52c | 13,256$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,362.84 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 47c | 7,467$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.61 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 5,979$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.51 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 52c | 4,444$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 62c | 3,732$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.31 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 53c | 3,459$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.73 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 1,054$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.38 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Over | 49c | 926.44$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Under | 53c | 679.06$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 59c | 436.37$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Under | 50c | 416.1$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 35c | 373.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…bc95backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 28c | 199.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 54c | 174$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 10c | 149.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 34c | 126$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 46c | 116.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Over | 60c | 87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Over | 51c | 66.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 49c | 63.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…0accbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 70c | 49.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 59c | 49.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 69c | 40.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 41c | 25.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 54c | 19.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5this page
- Alabama vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5Under won
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana (-6.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Indiana (-7.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.