College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24b761e3a358007b6888f6fac0b433a2e0632d78b0467037199738c40d3e0530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Texas, Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Michigan | 56c | 77,344$43,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,392.57 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texas | 44c | 64,200$28,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,686 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Michigan | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas | 46c | 10,152$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,484.92 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Michigan | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.98 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Texas | 41c | 4,513$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas | 40c | 4,116$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.1 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Texas | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Michigan | 49c | 3,634$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.26 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Texas | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texas | 46c | 2,908$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.85 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Texas | 43c | 2,500$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.14 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas | 11c | 2,403$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.32 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas | 39c | 2,383$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.42 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas | 46c | 2,043$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.89 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Michigan | 57c | 1,353$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.21 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Michigan | 52c | 1,001$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.26 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Texas | 40c | 844$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Texas | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Texas | 46c | 552.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Michigan | 54c | 489.17$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.15 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Michigan | 53c | 442.47$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.51 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Texas | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Michigan | 53c | 431.83$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Texas | 46c | 401.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.08 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Michigan | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Texas | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Texas | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Michigan | 7c | 235.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Texas | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Texas | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Michigan | 62c | 188.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Michigan | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Texas | 44c | 180.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Michigan | 51c | 166.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Michigan | 64c | 159$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Michigan | 41c | 147.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Michigan | 48c | 145.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Michigan | 54c | 137.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas | 47c | 130.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Texas | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Michigan | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Texas | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…753bbacked Michigan | 59c | 115$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…8079backed Texas | 48c | 112$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Michigan | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Michigan | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Michigan | 55c | 103.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Texas | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Texas | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked Michigan | 62c | 98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Texas | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Texas | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Texas | 46c | 89.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Texas | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Michigan | 62c | 83.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Texas | 34c | 82.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Michigan | 63c | 76.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Michigan | 61c | 74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Texas | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Texas | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Michigan | 57c | 71.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…1c24backed Texas | 41c | 70.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Texas | 44c | 64.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Texas | 44c | 64.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Michigan | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Texas | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Michigan | 57c | 59.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Texas | 40c | 56.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Michigan | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Texas | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Michigan | 56c | 54.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Texas | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Texas | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Texas | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Texas | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a346backed Texas | 44c | 49.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf69…e285backed Michigan | 56c | 47.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Michigan | 54c | 47.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Texas | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Texas | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Texas | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Michigan | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Texas | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Texas | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…e799backed Texas | 44c | 29.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Texas | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas (-7.5)this page
- Michigan vs. TexasTexas won
- O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Texas (-4.5)Texas won
- Spread: Texas (-5.5)Texas won
- Spread: Texas (-6.5)Texas won
- Spread: Texas (-8.5)Texas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.