Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47cd26c649cea335830094a1d42ce653abae59b368eb95895b161aae03422876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 6c | 19,281$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.83 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…a736backed Yes | 0c | 11,590$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 11,468$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.5 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 9c | 11,014$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.09 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 7c | 7,616$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.95 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 6c | 7,241$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.48 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 6c | 4,983$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.99 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 1c | 4,753$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…a8a0backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 9c | 3,650$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 8c | 3,600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Yes | 6c | 3,355$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…2b60backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…733ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 6c | 2,051$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,645$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…a0d4backed Yes | 4c | 1,471$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b65…2cf8backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 5c | 1,125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 9c | 1,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…5e40backed Yes | 2c | 750.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 3c | 693.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 5c | 672$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 7c | 669$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 4c | 545.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Yes | 4c | 450$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 4c | 381.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 5c | 356.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…46abbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 7c | 269.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…c7e6backed Yes | 5c | 231.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 215.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 6c | 203$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 9c | 199.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?this page
- Will Algeria vs. Sudan end in a draw?No won
- Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.