TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,606,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,630,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,606,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0bc…af98backed Yes78c407,591$317,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,821.79366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No22c199,999$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,999.861225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No22c176,807$39,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,106.533441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No29c133,000$38,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,569.8825038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes78c117,136$90,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,269.9616331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes75c86,246$65,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,145.130031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes71c75,317$53,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,895.51650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes78c52,363$41,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,356.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No23c50,000$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,50027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No4c42,334$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.231,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No2c42,154$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.122433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes73c37,410$27,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,117.9814732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No22c32,316$7,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,109.5974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No25c30,350$7,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,504.682222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes76c30,000$22,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,327.682365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No29c30,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,699.9212451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No23c28,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.919636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No27c23,947$6,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,506.1816835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No22c20,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.956132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked No2c19,889$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.326432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked No29c15,551$4,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,565.112245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No23c15,528$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.552352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No23c15,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No29c12,488$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.5240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes70c11,486$8,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.592462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c10,459$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.793,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9415034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c8,848$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.834,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes72c7,611$5,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.5676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No30c6,730$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.9928754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No4c6,044$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2918641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6583…a628backed Yes69c5,024$3,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…ca45backed No31c5,014$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No6c4,936$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1629343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes78c4,901$3,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.38554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes78c4,551$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.283132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No29c4,500$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.9917048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes71c4,112$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.5474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No5c4,043$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.627034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No27c3,954$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes71c3,750$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.51593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick63cpaid+51.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1cc2…24f2backed No24c3,387$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No23c3,174$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7307425.7%19 W · 55 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No28c3,122$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.9714040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No7c3,091$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3323738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90032031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f84…a3b4backed Yes78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6602100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc351…c648backed No23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes71c2,823$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.541040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No29c2,716$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.513327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes74c2,686$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.656563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes68c2,682$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.245042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes70c2,500$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7403151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed No8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes78c2,178$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.12152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4407740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.984346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33022421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No22c1,500$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33612934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7054…af6ebacked Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No8c1,408$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9716833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No5c1,402$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.097247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes78c1,401$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3717851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.897350.7%37 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Yes78c1,364$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.15961%36 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d50…1fdebacked Yes78c1,340$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.74966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes78c1,306$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0517664.8%114 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.822470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No23c1,200$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6821444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes78c1,198$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes78c1,138$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.73167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No8c1,126$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.814740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No8c1,100$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes69c1,086$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.532665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes79c1,076$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9522551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes78c1,014$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.072142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22011458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Yes77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c5…b3adbacked No5c1,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No32c999.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-75.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ff0…53a1backed No1c940$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.542236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes78c897.44$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.442454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No14c894.56$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0714537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes79c886.06$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.072748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes78c879.49$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.493956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes71c839.74$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.225154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4f…569cbacked Yes76c812.68$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked No5c801.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2323164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes78c769.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.234344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No29c754.41$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4720322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes78c699.29$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d6…30babacked Yes71c663.01$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.271968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes77c647.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.641457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.033860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.