Fifa International · resolved market
Will Algeria vs. Sudan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x268a2d93ba1d2e06d3d3afc45d81e4850d491f515f1aef481b5518e4405f5b89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.43 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 16c | 6,738$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 16c | 5,567$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.81 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,606$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.78 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 2,761$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.06 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,200$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,589$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 1,579$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 18c | 1,529$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.36 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 1,025$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.28 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 79c | 995.23$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 4c | 976.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 16c | 941.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 19c | 530.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 4c | 525$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…a0d4backed Yes | 5c | 514$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 8c | 310.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…aa1ebacked Yes | 17c | 243.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 8c | 232.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 18c | 222.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 8c | 203$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 21c | 197$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 176.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 80c | 174.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Yes | 8c | 164.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…8380backed No | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Yes | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…ed14backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Yes | 18c | 55.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 51.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Algeria vs. Sudan end in a draw?this page
- Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?Yes won
- Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.