TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Kings, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$576,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$608,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,368 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b6c…6305backed Kings15c102,027$15,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,693.167941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Kings15c27,652$4,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,147.7610930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings15c25,097$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650.7947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c13,024$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.368820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Kings16c12,296$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings14c11,942$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.041,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings15c10,207$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.0172450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd59f…4aa2backed Kings1c10,010$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings15c7,767$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.021,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings15c6,877$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.532,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Kings15c6,800$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02014055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings15c6,522$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.2346632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Kings18c5,611$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kings13c5,268$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.952,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings13c5,025$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings4c4,460$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9550838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kings17c4,403$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.1161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Kings0c4,024$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1371245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings15c4,000$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.9921538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings0c3,999$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.391,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings15c3,984$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.5924831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings15c3,930$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.492,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccb…e141backed Kings3c3,733$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100180%0 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings2c3,672$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.781,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings14c3,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Kings11c2,908$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.226729.2%78 W · 189 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Kings16c2,750$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44028742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings1c2,460$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.668783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Kings14c2,350$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.642640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3513…3579backed Kings16c2,256$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.471921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Kings15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d2…84e1backed Kings15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Kings15c1,999$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8636741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings16c1,984$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.934227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1675…ad9cbacked Kings16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002931%9 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Kings14c1,862$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6810226.5%27 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28cd…8934backed Kings15c1,700$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Kings15c1,600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kings16c1,585$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4546940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Kings2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.593041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Kings3c1,425$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7524731.2%77 W · 170 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Kings15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Kings16c1,306$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0840035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Kings24c1,241$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Kings12c1,200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14430619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Kings20c1,170$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.077231.9%23 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Kings13c1,113$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1719135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe838…3832backed Kings10c1,100$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10712241%50 W · 72 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Kings15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17fd…252cbacked Kings15c906.67$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1369347.3%44 W · 49 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…6d29backed Kings15c900$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13914443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…6817backed Kings12c800$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948426.2%22 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2773…5e90backed Kings5c800$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings15c799.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Kings14c720.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings14c699.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b0…e7e9backed Kings20c696.44$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.442347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ca…c807backed Kings7c696.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.74650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3482…98e3backed Kings15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005832.8%19 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed8…a259backed Kings15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Kings15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016825.6%43 W · 125 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Kings15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017420.1%35 W · 139 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Kings15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007236.1%26 W · 46 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings18c655.91$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…fc11backed Kings16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Kings8c602.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516618.2%12 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Kings15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Kings15c586$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.962948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb10…8062backed Kings19c560$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.422034.1%75 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Kings15c533.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Kings24c520.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12524634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Kings7c509.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.499642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Kings5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Kings16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040127.2%109 W · 292 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Kings15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f21…1d37backed Kings12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-79.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kings13c472.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.162,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings16c465$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.712,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Kings22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015055.3%83 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e5…1790backed Kings15c440$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Kings11c438.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d3…087bbacked Kings13c417.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4410229.4%30 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Kings8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Kings12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76a3…5249backed Kings15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014441%59 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x220e…58ccbacked Kings5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-90.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Kings22c391.14$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0553539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Kings9c378.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7763745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b0…c7a8backed Kings10c367.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378732.2%28 W · 59 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f83…8c23backed Kings13c366.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.714320.9%9 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Kings13c350$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474719.1%9 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c33…9ac6backed Kings15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011352.2%59 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Kings15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023644.1%104 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…bf55backed Kings15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5071053.9%383 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Kings15c328.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac2a…7418backed Kings8c325$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265729.8%17 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d6c…1e7fbacked Kings15c322.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.914320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Kings16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Kings17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5121534%73 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.