NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45d6f770eda76c254e5a61a46d7ef2c437df50da2bb5c0b711b82970406db7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 54c | 58,155$31,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,403.64 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 42,938$19,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,146.08 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 26,292$13,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,995.8 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 12,826$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,926.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 10,000$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.36 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 6,000$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Under | 51c | 5,262$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.85 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 5,059$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Under | 53c | 4,668$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 48c | 4,290$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 3,678$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.35 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Over | 47c | 1,890$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.7 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 54c | 1,165$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.15 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 1,148$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.83 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 947.11$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 43c | 885$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.45 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 714$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 46c | 327$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 209.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 43c | 143.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Over | 47c | 102.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Over | 60c | 100.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 50c | 90.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 50c | 71.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Over | 47c | 63.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 43.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…9305backed Over | 44c | 30.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 51c | 26.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 25.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 49c | 24.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 23.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…536ebacked Over | 51c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 52c | 21.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Under | 53c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-7.5)Kings won
- Kings vs. SunsSuns won
- Kings vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Kings vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-13.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.