NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe06757cda238c7e8a527ff91938b59e567077a53698b4e347c77e9d9c8333127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Suns | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 43c | 2,130$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Kings | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 48c | 1,613$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Suns | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Kings | 37c | 853.22$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.78 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Suns | 51c | 818.13$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.88 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Suns | 63c | 666$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 51c | 587.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Suns | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Suns | 53c | 377.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.45 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 51c | 316.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings | 47c | 257.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Suns | 53c | 189.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Suns | 48c | 186.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Suns | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Suns | 65c | 184$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 46c | 178.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Suns | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Suns | 53c | 146.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 53c | 133.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kings | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Suns | 57c | 105.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Suns | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Suns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Suns | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Suns | 73c | 91.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Kings | 46c | 65.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Suns | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Suns | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Suns | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 32c | 59.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Kings | 50c | 57.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…f897backed Kings | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Suns | 50c | 51.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Suns | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Suns | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Kings | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Suns | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Suns | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Kings | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Suns | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Suns | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Suns | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Suns | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Suns | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Suns | 55c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Suns | 50c | 33.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Kings | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…6700backed Kings | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Suns | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kings | 48c | 29.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…2fb8backed Kings | 52c | 27.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Suns | 47c | 27.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Suns | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…8512backed Kings | 52c | 25.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…617fbacked Kings | 50c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…1263backed Kings | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…a2aabacked Kings | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…0f55backed Kings | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Suns | 49c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…90b6backed Kings | 52c | 24.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…31f8backed Suns | 65c | 24.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Suns | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…627bbacked Kings | 52c | 23.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…1ae2backed Kings | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…87dabacked Kings | 52c | 21.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 47c | 21.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…7347backed Kings | 52c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Suns | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…ac80backed Kings | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x730b…02a2backed Kings | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb825…a4a4backed Kings | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Suns | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-7.5)Kings won
- Kings vs. SunsSuns won
- Kings vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Kings vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-13.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.