NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49b9f1a624b73856152f6d1c9d257b67717090009c02f23c0e3d4e87bf141285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf551…90ddbacked Over | 49c | 9,800$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…ae94backed Under | 51c | 9,800$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 2,221$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…be15backed Under | 56c | 1,604$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.97 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 57c | 1,392$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 895.79$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.84 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 628$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 54c | 573.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.9 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 52c | 450.42$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 54c | 342.8$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.11 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 341.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 260.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 227.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 51c | 225.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 29c | 220$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 44c | 200.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 45c | 187.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 187$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 55c | 172.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 170$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 64c | 155.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 59c | 147$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 14c | 91.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 42c | 76.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 56c | 50.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 43c | 39.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…0bcabacked Under | 55c | 36.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 34.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 31.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 58c | 28.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 22.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 56c | 20.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-7.5)Kings won
- Kings vs. SunsSuns won
- Kings vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Kings vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-13.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.