NHL · resolved market
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Sochi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68959b7c852d7c7ea4fdc1f2bf37f102a06f9d970c806411f63a76c14bd9e7c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Severstal Cherepovetsof Severstal Cherepovets, HC Sochi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fd4…7b90backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 19,000$13,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291c…a3a1backed HC Sochi | 27c | 19,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…6f4ebacked HC Sochi | 27c | 3,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…87ccbacked HC Sochi | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…bfddbacked HC Sochi | 27c | 2,300$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…3779backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed HC Sochi | 27c | 1,119$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 1,119$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…c1d8backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…9947backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 900$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…582fbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f6e0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…2516backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…4ec7backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5806…5863backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…af3ebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf507…b7d1backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked HC Sochi | 26c | 520.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…4656backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…3e55backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed HC Sochi | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed HC Sochi | 27c | 191$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 74c | 175.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed HC Sochi | 27c | 168$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed HC Sochi | 27c | 124$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed HC Sochi | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked HC Sochi | 27c | 117$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed Severstal Cherepovets | 74c | 101.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked HC Sochi | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Severstal Cherepovets | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed HC Sochi | 27c | 94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed HC Sochi | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked HC Sochi | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed HC Sochi | 27c | 73.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed HC Sochi | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked HC Sochi | 29c | 63.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 72c | 61.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed HC Sochi | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked HC Sochi | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…2072backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 41.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed HC Sochi | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Severstal Cherepovets | 74c | 40.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Severstal Cherepovets | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Severstal Cherepovets | 74c | 23.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Severstal Cherepovets | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.