Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Kimberly Birrell vs Amanda Anisimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b767dc772defcd9a9dcd14ed914746d449c6a3471af0fdebd02d51c6fd20e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anisimovaof Birrell, Anisimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Birrell | 3c | 6,432$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Birrell | 16c | 2,350$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Birrell | 6c | 2,323$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Birrell | 1c | 2,171$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Birrell | 2c | 2,088$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Birrell | 5c | 1,589$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Birrell | 17c | 1,400$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.37 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2d…7fa9backed Birrell | 2c | 1,370$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Birrell | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Birrell | 7c | 1,099$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Birrell | 9c | 833.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Birrell | 9c | 822.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Birrell | 5c | 609.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Birrell | 9c | 582.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Birrell | 8c | 576.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…8000backed Birrell | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Birrell | 3c | 534.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Birrell | 10c | 510.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Birrell | 16c | 499.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Birrell | 6c | 450$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Birrell | 8c | 424.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Birrell | 7c | 366$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…bf38backed Birrell | 8c | 342.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Birrell | 15c | 332.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…7b21backed Birrell | 6c | 323.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Birrell | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…14bfbacked Birrell | 9c | 179.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Birrell | 18c | 113.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Birrell | 18c | 108.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Birrell | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…ea4abacked Birrell | 17c | 82.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Birrell | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Kimberly Birrell vs Amanda Anisimovathis page
- Birrell vs. Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Birrell vs AnisimovaAnisimova won
- Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)Anisimova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.