Rice vs. Texas State

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c382a44091aa95f4611a73cd251d6edac0b3d98899a5aa4c5492749967c29f0

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Texas Stateof Rice, Texas State
Resolved: Jan 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $962,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $817,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $962,989 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in College Football
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x27cb…169ebacked Rice	13c	176,503$23,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,472.13	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rice	13c	159,490$21,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,524.98	215	38.6%83 W · 132 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x654d…8e3ebacked Rice	12c	54,000$6,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,480	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	41cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rice	12c	50,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Rice	14c	46,123$6,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,457.25	100	47%47 W · 53 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Rice	11c	45,000$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Rice	12c	41,370$4,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,964.44	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rice	12c	40,613$5,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,073.91	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rice	11c	23,877$2,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,626.47	118	49.2%58 W · 60 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rice	7c	19,663$1,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,368.67	588	50.2%295 W · 293 L	+23.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Rice	0c	18,790$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.94	49	0%0 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rice	9c	14,282$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.25	139	33.1%46 W · 93 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rice	7c	14,206$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.49	198	42.9%85 W · 113 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rice	11c	9,182$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.37	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+13.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Rice	2c	8,497$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.64	242	29.3%71 W · 171 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rice	12c	8,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rice	16c	8,036$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.12	524	49.4%259 W · 265 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Rice	13c	7,419$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.51	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rice	14c	6,891$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.88	292	49%143 W · 149 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rice	0c	6,402$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rice	11c	5,301$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.83	659	45.2%298 W · 361 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Rice	13c	4,000$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Rice	7c	3,698$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rice	13c	3,554$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.68	628	43.6%274 W · 354 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Rice	11c	3,338$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.56	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Rice	14c	3,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rice	12c	2,601$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.06	571	44.7%255 W · 316 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92e5…d129backed Rice	2c	2,571$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rice	16c	2,212$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.22	220	30.5%67 W · 153 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Rice	15c	2,164$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.27	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Rice	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rice	14c	2,000$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.03	402	44.8%180 W · 222 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Rice	13c	1,981$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.61	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Rice	8c	1,769$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4385…dbc4backed Rice	7c	1,730$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Rice	12c	1,705$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.92	216	44.9%97 W · 119 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rice	12c	1,659$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.17	269	40.5%109 W · 160 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Rice	13c	1,590$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.75	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3513…3579backed Rice	15c	1,553$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.37	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Rice	14c	1,535$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.92	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rice	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Rice	15c	1,500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rice	12c	1,419$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.25	542	43.2%234 W · 308 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Rice	12c	1,350$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-6.4wins	-0.16per pick	37cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Rice	17c	1,318$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Rice	15c	1,200$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	471	31.4%148 W · 323 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Rice	13c	1,200$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Rice	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	157	34.4%54 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2968…ce4cbacked Rice	13c	969.23$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bc…963cbacked Rice	15c	937$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.79	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Rice	7c	931.93$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Rice	11c	918.39$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.85	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Rice	3c	805$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Rice	10c	784.66$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.65	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27dc…0102backed Rice	16c	677.08$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Rice	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Rice	13c	663.85$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.91	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Rice	12c	580.17$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.62	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Rice	14c	557.13$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.76	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Rice	14c	538$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.01	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Rice	9c	511.11$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Rice	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Rice	14c	500$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Rice	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa022…22f1backed Rice	10c	487.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	47cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x298c…c31cbacked Rice	16c	462.5$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ff…6e4ebacked Rice	11c	454$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Rice	8c	442.39$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb6…56d3backed Rice	9c	438.6$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Rice	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Rice	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…6d29backed Rice	15c	399.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Rice	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b6…a5f3backed Rice	12c	325.9$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Rice	7c	322.45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	123	46.3%57 W · 66 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rice	14c	319.16$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.68	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Rice	14c	318.02$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.25	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rice	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	132	42.4%56 W · 76 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Rice	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a4…41c2backed Rice	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rice	13c	299.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	103	46.6%48 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Rice	15c	299.96$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.79	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rice	9c	298.74$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.67	553	50.3%278 W · 275 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc030…22e4backed Rice	14c	291.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Rice	12c	288.56$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bca…d32cbacked Rice	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Rice	16c	274.05$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.85	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4703…ce7fbacked Rice	16c	264.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.38	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c81…4e8dbacked Rice	14c	247.59$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5876…9c9fbacked Rice	5c	247.27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Rice	15c	233.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.51	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c50…f592backed Rice	16c	224.94$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.99	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Rice	12c	220.68$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.48	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Rice	12c	218.24$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.19per pick	43cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Rice	12c	218$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.09	94	57.4%54 W · 40 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Rice	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x980d…985fbacked Rice	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Rice	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Rice	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aef…3b6dbacked Rice	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rice vs. Texas Statethis page
O/U 59.5Under won
Rice vs. Texas State: 1H MoneylineTexas State won
Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 55.5Under won
Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 56.5Under won
Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 57.5Under won
Spread: Texas State (-11.5)Texas State won
Spread: Texas State (-13.5)Texas State won
Spread: Texas State (-14.5)Texas State won
Spread: Texas State (-16.5)Texas State won
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)Texas State won
Spread: Texas State (-18.5)Texas State won
Spread: Texas State (-19.5)Texas State won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rice vs. Texas State

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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