TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Texas State (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Stateof Texas State, Rice
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$650,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$875,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Texas State55c227,131$125,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,057.412759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Rice48c100,462$48,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,280.022763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rice45c82,455$37,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,104.6116234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Rice45c50,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,5001080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rice45c39,344$17,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,715.1693548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Texas State55c32,561$18,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,525.9652449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rice45c27,474$12,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,313.894163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rice44c27,294$12,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,109.552641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas State51c18,208$9,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,921.9248546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas State53c12,586$6,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,930.8762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas State53c12,338$6,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,851.732,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rice45c9,999$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.652035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Texas State51c8,720$4,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,287.762536%9 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rice45c4,040$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas State55c3,624$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.729249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Rice45c2,250$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+43.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Texas State61c1,600$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6241050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Rice52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004770.2%33 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Rice46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Rice50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Rice45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Texas State54c634.66$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.121464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed Rice45c555$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.751747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Texas State61c493.88$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.781080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ea7…657ebacked Rice29c235$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-79.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Rice43c232.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Rice42c226.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4428440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…27e7backed Rice45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas State59c203.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6457144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Texas State16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168862.5%5 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.49per pick14cpaid+322.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x69b6…a5f3backed Rice28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Texas State53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.689053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Texas State44c162.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.961250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Rice78c162.19$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.51933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Rice35c130.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2526939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0a…01d4backed Texas State55c114.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Rice45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed Texas State55c105.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…5830backed Texas State59c102$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.36100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rice41c101.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.754243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Rice46c100.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2411545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Texas State55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bc…c942backed Texas State69c94.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.561973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Texas State17c80$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.210757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Rice45c77.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.871553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rice44c76.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.683151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf8…2540backed Rice72c73.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-63.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas State50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1120553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Rice49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.339954.1%216 W · 183 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Rice46c66.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.472441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Texas State56c65.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.941735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ed…b42abacked Rice46c65.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Rice38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.717443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x394a…536ebacked Rice46c59.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Rice50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8320…94ebbacked Rice46c41.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Texas State58c41.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6616044.4%71 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Rice48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Texas State52c41.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Rice25c39.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Texas State51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x297d…0358backed Texas State57c39.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rice45c38.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4838450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Rice43c36.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.517545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Rice45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0e…12bdbacked Texas State55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96e5…bb74backed Rice44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c25…922abacked Rice46c34.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd925…3ab5backed Rice46c32.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Rice46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Rice47c31.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85f3…bbaabacked Rice46c31.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Rice46c30.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145450%27 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Rice45c29.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbae0…5cd6backed Texas State56c27.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Rice46c26.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.293066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Rice46c26.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.291471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Texas State78c25.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed Rice46c24.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Texas State53c22.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.743435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf95d…ca8dbacked Texas State75c17.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.37560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e10…b8d4backed Texas State71c15.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.