TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8320…94eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Ducks vs. Devilsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Canadiens vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.03
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$15.69
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$19.59
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37.4%+$7.17
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+82.1%+$13.14
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3073.3%22 W · 8 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.62
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.29
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$14.64
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Chargers vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Ravens (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+143.9%+$17.7
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$22.5
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+84.4%+$13.5
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+85.2%+$47.92
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.3%+$159.24
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.36
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+89.6%+$23.39
Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18.56
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.01
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.63
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Trail Blazers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+42.4%+$5.94
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.42
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.34
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+30.1%+$9.64
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.75
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+39.4%+$9.83
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+99.9%+$15.98
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.27
Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.27
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico Statebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Wyoming vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+27%+$7.78
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+150%+$30
West Virginia vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$2.75
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.82
Spread: Duke (-9.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Tulane vs. Memphisbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+129.4%+$19.41
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.37
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-5.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.65
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+117%+$21.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.7%+$10.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+48.2%+$9.64
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+100.8%+$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+64.3%+$14.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$8.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$34.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.