Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba4f582713537b04d9b73523261928356abcd2de0f0c42438b06bdcd80f38fa3

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $62,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,037 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No	49c	35,000$17,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,850	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes	51c	34,880$17,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,788.8	277	50.9%141 W · 136 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes	1c	3,025$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	61c	2,260$1,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.92	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No	54c	2,039$1,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.4	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+12.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	56c	1,780$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.13	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	41c	1,733$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.74	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	49c	1,248$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.48	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No	62c	1,009$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.99	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	48c	718.45$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.81	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6ad9backed Yes	30c	666.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes	53c	603.77$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes	52c	580$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.6	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-9.7wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Yes	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	66c	462.89$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.37	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	67c	305.94$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.59	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes	23c	304.35$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	54c	282.33$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.73	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes	38c	259.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	115	34.8%40 W · 75 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	45c	153$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.85	413	44.8%185 W · 228 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No	48c	149.99$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.74	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes	24c	147.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.47	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes	52c	144.23$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	243	49%119 W · 124 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No	49c	142.18$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.31	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes	38c	136.84$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes	37c	133.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.51	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	23.6%17 W · 55 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	50c	100.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.01	291	58.4%170 W · 121 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	180	52.2%94 W · 86 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	208	40.9%85 W · 123 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed Yes	52c	98.4$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.17	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No	70c	87.56$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.21	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes	53c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Yes	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed No	49c	77$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.27	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes	52c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-7.2wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes	51c	69.22$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes	37c	69.06$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.55	364	62.9%229 W · 135 L	+32.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	48c	65.36$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.64	423	24.3%103 W · 320 L	-36.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7209…a358backed Yes	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	62cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x097f…a53ebacked Yes	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No	61c	49.09$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.16	732	58.5%428 W · 304 L	+46.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-7.6wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	53c	43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes	37c	36.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.31	139	41%57 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	46c	33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	520	60.4%314 W · 206 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	55c	32.17$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.47	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d2…c6dabacked Yes	36c	31.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.23per pick	45cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Yes	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes	53c	25.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	127	48.8%62 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	182	51.6%94 W · 88 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Yes	51c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	65c	23.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.43	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8320…94ebbacked Yes	53c	22.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
Will Oxford United FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-26?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event