Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ff65c24b15e5ed0ca5196ea538ece8f6132bb70a35edc067e3e13a3061d7ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Yes | 77c | 1,298$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,114$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.81 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 564$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 543.75$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 384.62$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 44c | 315.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 225.53$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 185.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 24c | 150.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 144.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 34c | 87.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 32c | 46.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed No | 31c | 42.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.0wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked No | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 73c | 27.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 22.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 67c | 15.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-26?Yes won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.