Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45a1c1b76371e550f78f37884d4c86b614589a7649a1044b365871d99ab29d83

Rebuilt 40 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Middle Tennesseeof Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State
Resolved: Nov 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $135,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $135,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,568 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in College Football
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed New Mexico State	63c	39,956$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	193	62.2%120 W · 73 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Middle Tennessee	38c	37,249$13,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,269.52	162	34%55 W · 107 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Middle Tennessee	40c	25,659$10,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,493.3	935	48.4%453 W · 482 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed New Mexico State	37c	14,575$5,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,386.3	862	43.7%377 W · 485 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Middle Tennessee	64c	13,159$8,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,754.38	405	41.2%167 W · 238 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed New Mexico State	61c	10,000$6,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,100	272	46%125 W · 147 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed New Mexico State	60c	8,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked New Mexico State	25c	7,538$1,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,859.35	200	39.5%79 W · 121 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed New Mexico State	43c	3,524$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.59	237	51.1%121 W · 116 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f1…5840backed Middle Tennessee	59c	3,227$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,327.02	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Middle Tennessee	58c	3,096$1,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,301.62	632	43.7%276 W · 356 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+138.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Middle Tennessee	60c	2,946$1,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.01	648	41.2%267 W · 381 L	+12.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked New Mexico State	60c	2,710$1,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,626.28	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed New Mexico State	59c	1,992$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.99	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed New Mexico State	60c	1,800$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.98	345	29.9%103 W · 242 L	-21.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Middle Tennessee	63c	1,733$1,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.55	628	43.6%274 W · 354 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Middle Tennessee	71c	1,662$1,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.38	215	38.6%83 W · 132 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Middle Tennessee	61c	1,302$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.29	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Middle Tennessee	37c	1,125$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.75	485	46.8%227 W · 258 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Middle Tennessee	40c	1,025$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.07	262	44.3%116 W · 146 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed New Mexico State	61c	1,002$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Middle Tennessee	53c	842.79$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.91	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+14.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico State	61c	839$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.79	524	49.4%259 W · 265 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New Mexico State	76c	743.79$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.9	198	42.9%85 W · 113 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd3…4285backed New Mexico State	50c	665.67$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.84	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Middle Tennessee	38c	582.56$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.19	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Middle Tennessee	37c	500$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee	37c	475.61$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.46	2,013	49.6%999 W · 1,014 L	+24.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Middle Tennessee	39c	409.76$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.96	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Middle Tennessee	44c	308.77$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.91	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9710…80a3backed Middle Tennessee	71c	300$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	4	75%3 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed New Mexico State	17c	280.05$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	267	50.9%136 W · 131 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed New Mexico State	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Middle Tennessee	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked Middle Tennessee	39c	199.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.99	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-44%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2a…6c48backed New Mexico State	41c	189.46$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked New Mexico State	61c	185.87$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.38	494	43.7%216 W · 278 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked New Mexico State	57c	175.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x251a…79bdbacked Middle Tennessee	58c	173$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.66	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	62cpaid	+38%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New Mexico State	47c	168.44$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.78	553	50.3%278 W · 275 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed New Mexico State	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	106	64.2%68 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed New Mexico State	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked New Mexico State	61c	161$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.21	292	49%143 W · 149 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed New Mexico State	65c	154.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	68cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed New Mexico State	64c	152.47$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.83	269	39.8%107 W · 162 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Middle Tennessee	38c	146.77$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91	220	30.5%67 W · 153 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked New Mexico State	62c	129.03$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	188	68.1%128 W · 60 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Middle Tennessee	40c	125$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed New Mexico State	60c	122.04$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.06	284	40.8%116 W · 168 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ce…1817backed Middle Tennessee	58c	118$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.56	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Middle Tennessee	43c	115.07$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.59	68	61.8%42 W · 26 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaef8…c6b7backed Middle Tennessee	50c	103$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde22…292abacked Middle Tennessee	51c	100.2$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed New Mexico State	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Middle Tennessee	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	102	42.2%43 W · 59 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Middle Tennessee	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	280	32.9%92 W · 188 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed New Mexico State	42c	88.27$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.93	542	43.2%234 W · 308 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3513…c19dbacked New Mexico State	69c	72.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico State	30c	71$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	571	44.7%255 W · 316 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Middle Tennessee	41c	68.29$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.29	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…787bbacked Middle Tennessee	50c	62.18$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.01	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8147…ab6cbacked Middle Tennessee	33c	60.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a06…4d67backed Middle Tennessee	40c	60.45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed New Mexico State	61c	55.27$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.71	1,090	41.7%455 W · 635 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4b…bed4backed Middle Tennessee	59c	52.79$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.83	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b4…92f0backed New Mexico State	61c	48.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.29	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa271…4535backed New Mexico State	60c	45.88$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e0…c575backed Middle Tennessee	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	37cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…bbb8backed New Mexico State	61c	40.07$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e74…d044backed New Mexico State	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7967…6313backed New Mexico State	61c	39.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x932a…9cc4backed Middle Tennessee	40c	38.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc862…755fbacked Middle Tennessee	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	67cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Middle Tennessee	40c	36.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.86	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d3…dd11backed New Mexico State	60c	36.43$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ee…aaaabacked Middle Tennessee	40c	34.68$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf693…396bbacked New Mexico State	61c	33.8$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Middle Tennessee	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f0…8b02backed New Mexico State	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	74.3%26 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x686a…c769backed New Mexico State	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	67.2%39 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x957a…8292backed New Mexico State	61c	32.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ac…5e1dbacked Middle Tennessee	41c	30.9$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3139…ebb6backed New Mexico State	61c	30.56$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f2…b27abacked Middle Tennessee	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+63.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Middle Tennessee	39c	29.99$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0d…7545backed Middle Tennessee	64c	29.69$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.69	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	63cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Middle Tennessee	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	29	79.3%23 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	67cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefef…343fbacked Middle Tennessee	41c	29.37$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2444…af14backed Middle Tennessee	40c	28.43$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.06	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8320…94ebbacked Middle Tennessee	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99d…3057backed New Mexico State	53c	22.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-3.9wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd25…1386backed New Mexico State	53c	22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-3.9wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico Statethis page
Spread: New Mexico State (-3.5)Middle Tennessee won
Spread: New Mexico State (-4.5)Middle Tennessee won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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