NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6b75bdc00960ed82e68ec72cebdc6c4903ff28ca544422763e8ab9198bd7b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 51c | 107,743$54,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,559.35 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 49,147$24,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,573.53 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 50c | 19,997$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,998.53 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 48c | 16,333$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,493.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 6,150$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.88 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 5,140$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.76 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 1,516$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.53 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Over | 51c | 1,427$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 48c | 1,102$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.04 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Under | 50c | 976$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Under | 50c | 883.5$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 48c | 784.56$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.97 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 48c | 777$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…ecccbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…f005backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…6f06backed Under | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…92cebacked Over | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 289.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 50c | 287.46$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 199$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 191.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9866…4712backed Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 52c | 132.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 52c | 103.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 50c | 99.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…8e90backed Over | 51c | 59.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…d430backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Over | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…f4e8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 37.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…4cf4backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Over | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3658…614abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.