NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a24a46b2f2536457e9162cb34089178f50caf60ae0513ae4a3d29e618b36b41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Hurricanes | 45c | 80,164$35,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,298.74 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 4,743$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Hurricanes | 44c | 3,930$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 3,930$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blue Jackets | 75c | 1,202$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.43 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes | 25c | 1,171$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.67 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 888.1$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.34 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 772.82$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.05 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…9422backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes | 45c | 516$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Hurricanes | 47c | 456.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.48 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 397$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 184.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 179.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Hurricanes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes | 44c | 57.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Blue Jackets | 64c | 42.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blue Jackets | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Hurricanes | 43c | 36.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Hurricanes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Hurricanes | 39c | 29.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.