Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48c14a359f59ccb63350ec8ca22128765d35ca2ffb6018bc6c2ea24a6f1d808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 522,276$250,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271,652.48 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 52c | 209,999$109,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,199.48 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 48c | 41,670$19,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,708.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 54c | 9,180$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 5,193$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 52c | 4,896$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.07 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 4,521$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.92 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 57c | 3,851$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 3,155$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 2,231$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 56c | 660.93$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.16 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 55c | 454.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 52c | 390$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 46c | 262.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 53c | 248.23$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 55c | 188.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 45c | 154$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Under | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 54c | 112.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…5695backed Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 52c | 82.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 53c | 80.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Under | 54c | 70.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 47c | 66.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 53c | 65.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 52c | 59.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 54c | 56.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8249backed Under | 55c | 53.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 53c | 46.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 52c | 46.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…26febacked Under | 54c | 45.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Under | 52c | 44.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 53c | 37.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Under | 54c | 35.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 53c | 31.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under | 55c | 28.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Over | 72c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee53…7d97backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…d4c7backed Under | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 59c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under | 55c | 19.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 141.5this page
- Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina PiratesCharlotte 49ers won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 142.5Over won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-1.5)Charlotte 49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.