Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x309d698c4282ca9a1bc69b3c22857df4f6b122db68c0cc3f4224f34002d91142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 53c | 6,632$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.1 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 2,313$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.29 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 60c | 1,858$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.37 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,054$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.9 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 523.56$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 75c | 504.48$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.1 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 482$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 467.02$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 389.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 56c | 359.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 47c | 289.52$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 230$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 68c | 229.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 53c | 226$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 47c | 195.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 53c | 171.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 60c | 120.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 54c | 116$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…d9b1backed Yes | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…bd6abacked Yes | 47c | 106.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 38c | 99.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 46c | 96.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 55c | 72.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 43c | 55.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…8e8dbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 54c | 48.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 66c | 47.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 43.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf914…4a78backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…5e1dbacked No | 53c | 32.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 80c | 32.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes | 47c | 32.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8236backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…453cbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…8373backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Yes | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…18a3backed Yes | 49c | 30.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Yes | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…215bbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked No | 54c | 27.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…ae65backed Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x448c…c0febacked Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 59c | 22.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 53c | 19.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…f1f3backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.