Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03106bb33409dafffae122650319323e811ad221557d6f462312dc6923762b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 67c | 4,107$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.36 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 2,006$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.48 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 1,805$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.4 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,617$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.54 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,412$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.08 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 42c | 837.24$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.64 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 67c | 592$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 66c | 582.06$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 340.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.62 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 322.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 67c | 222.03$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yes | 33c | 212.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 32c | 199.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 61c | 191.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 129.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 68c | 99.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 57c | 97.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 72c | 54.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 35c | 53.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 66c | 52.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 67c | 39.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…e5a1backed No | 59c | 33.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 61c | 22.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…ae65backed No | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.