Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8319afc8e0f3dcdc5a6eebc76047300972d71d7e1fda59e86d75eded20824148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 4,915$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.19 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 35c | 3,647$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.46 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 2,012$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.7 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 1,824$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 19c | 1,515$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.13 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,352$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.91 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 53c | 816.66$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.83 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 659.39$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 51c | 549.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 9c | 546.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 78c | 423.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 409.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 21c | 399.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 393.73$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 378.25$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 19c | 285.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 145$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 110.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 15c | 88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 52c | 75.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 37c | 54.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 50c | 47.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 49c | 46.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked No | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…ae65backed No | 79c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.