NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1272aa52eb877fa6970dd4a8e93e9d6f2f9473b0c8b2af7d09454613168aa11e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 51c | 247,853$126,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,096.29 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 67,568$33,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,972.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 59,212$30,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,865.32 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 12,662$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204.2 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 48c | 12,222$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,355.44 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 6,503$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.5 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 6,016$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.26 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Under | 53c | 5,472$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.7 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 51c | 4,493$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.57 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 4,160$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 48c | 3,242$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 1,637$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.34 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…56febacked Over | 57c | 1,500$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,442$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.42 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 49c | 1,410$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.2 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 1,329$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 1,249$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.41 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 52c | 1,049$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.32 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 889.8$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.8 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 680.83$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 678.83$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 22c | 650.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 53c | 648.51$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over | 52c | 626.62$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.64 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 458.08$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 50c | 309$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 48c | 229.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…df33backed Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 9c | 199.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 78c | 185$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Under | 48c | 170.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…39b0backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 51c | 97.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 50c | 85.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Over | 48c | 78.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 52c | 76.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Under | 50c | 65.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 51c | 63.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Under | 54c | 53.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 53.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 49c | 52.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 50.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 49c | 49.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Under | 53c | 49.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 49c | 48.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 48c | 44.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 43.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…c7dfbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…eec8backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Under | 50c | 36.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…1f46backed Under | 51c | 29.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 51c | 28.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…76b1backed Under | 51c | 23.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78b…a688backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Under | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 49c | 20.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Kings won
- Knicks vs. KingsKings won
- Knicks vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Knicks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.