NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf54d4c4299b7383fa948b227cda02c9a817dc06f7d7ac648230133c5d79e8ff7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 50c | 413,973$205,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205,850.2 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 50c | 300,000$150,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 71,421$37,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,310.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 38,741$18,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,277.95 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 52c | 34,726$18,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,538.13 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 48c | 15,021$7,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,207.89 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 15,000$7,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,208.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 14,038$6,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,457.64 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…8478backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…853cbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…7b18backed Under | 50c | 9,990$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17b…d0a7backed Over | 50c | 9,990$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 53c | 9,774$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,593.6 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 9,384$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.29 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Over | 48c | 7,508$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.47 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 46c | 6,427$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.6 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Over | 46c | 5,567$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.82 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 5,494$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 5,251$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.91 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 4,600$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 4,282$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 4,026$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.32 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 3,899$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.02 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 55c | 3,640$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.9 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 3,272$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.1 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 55c | 2,730$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.55 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 2,600$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.83 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 2,016$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.68 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 1,766$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 1,435$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 47c | 1,411$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.42 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 53c | 1,306$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.94 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 1,204$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.2 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 14c | 1,010$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 38c | 979.3$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.27 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 919$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 911.92$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 900$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Over | 12c | 868.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Under | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 62c | 617.19$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 590.83$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.51 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 51c | 535.37$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.33 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 52c | 531.69$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.25 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over | 49c | 467.2$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.93 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…7efebacked Over | 22c | 467.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Under | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 64c | 399.05$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 375.12$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 70c | 371.14$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 326.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Under | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 48c | 313$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…56febacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 50c | 299.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 53c | 256$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 55c | 238.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 232$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…1f21backed Over | 46c | 217$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 24c | 200.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Under | 52c | 192.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…586abacked Under | 56c | 179.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Under | 56c | 178.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 25c | 178$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Over | 49c | 173.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Over | 47c | 170.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 43c | 133.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 51c | 124.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…d77abacked Over | 46c | 123.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 52c | 122.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Over | 47c | 119.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 51c | 113.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 112.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Kings won
- Knicks vs. KingsKings won
- Knicks vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Knicks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.