TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Knicks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$390,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$391,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks52c275,802$143,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,416.822,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings48c169,955$81,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,383.31,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Kings48c37,543$18,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,522.3629351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings48c26,000$12,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,52048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings48c23,617$11,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,280.752,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…a00abacked Kings48c18,000$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,3601050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Knicks52c17,999$9,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,360.376767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks53c16,638$8,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,817.91,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Kings48c15,417$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,016.6711351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings47c9,155$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,851.379,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings47c7,705$3,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,083.653,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Knicks52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,64074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2f…6cadbacked Kings48c6,162$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Kings48c4,792$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.6749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Knicks52c4,593$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.3658449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38db…2aa3backed Knicks52c3,272$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Knicks52c2,836$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.522,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Knicks54c2,578$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.916650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3b…444cbacked Knicks52c2,528$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Knicks52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Knicks52c2,368$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.361,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2854…b644backed Kings48c2,239$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9504…0321backed Kings48c2,153$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f37…23cebacked Knicks52c2,088$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…08c1backed Knicks52c2,022$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Kings46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings47c1,959$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Kings48c1,940$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.9611361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f93…c1c3backed Kings48c1,805$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb2…4db8backed Kings48c1,804$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Knicks52c1,670$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c67…e84dbacked Kings48c1,623$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…9a72backed Knicks52c1,577$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98b…727bbacked Knicks52c1,554$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ae…b9f8backed Knicks52c1,523$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Kings48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.3317344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb329…0459backed Knicks52c1,401$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf616…575fbacked Kings48c1,174$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings48c1,152$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.1651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Knicks53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58337930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e5…a00abacked Kings48c1,090$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe696…03f1backed Kings48c1,008$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Kings48c974$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.761,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Kings48c951.79$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9317953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5750…a2dbbacked Kings48c925$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…a405backed Knicks53c888$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.643961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7539…54f0backed Kings48c843$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Kings48c834.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.823850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Kings58c820$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.411839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Knicks53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc9…6523backed Kings48c760$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Knicks53c754.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.157048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Knicks53c675.92$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.248961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks40c612.24$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Kings47c599.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9952844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Kings48c560.42$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Kings48c545.83$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8332450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Knicks12c542$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3720536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd7…ed94backed Kings48c541$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Kings48c508.33$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.339655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…80d2backed Kings48c503.27$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.76246.8%29 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Knicks52c478.24$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Knicks54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b87…0074backed Knicks53c435.66$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Kings48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6714647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6b…5a33backed Knicks53c405.85$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Knicks6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Kings48c389.79$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.6924147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Knicks53c338.42$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.364548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Knicks52c333$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1643543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Knicks9c330$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.331144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Kings48c302.73$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.423060%18 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Knicks54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16215849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Kings48c297$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4421357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kings48c290$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.81,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Knicks52c289$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2840648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Kings48c283.33$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Kings48c261$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7220651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Kings48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bed…454fbacked Knicks53c236.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Knicks16c227.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks52c227$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.041,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Kings48c223.5$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2221546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Knicks52c223.29$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1153043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…bf3dbacked Kings47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Kings48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.339443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kings48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10495548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Kings47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10666645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Knicks25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Kings48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10425951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Kings48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Kings48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049557.9%55 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings48c190$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.82,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Knicks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…0899backed Knicks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.