TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Knicks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks48c112,873$54,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,159.552,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Kings52c89,932$46,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,167.4160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Knicks49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,60040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kings51c22,070$11,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,814.151,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Kings52c21,677$11,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,431.7220744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings51c16,261$8,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,968.533,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Knicks49c8,096$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.0492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings52c6,289$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.522,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings53c6,000$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.091,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings52c5,338$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.161,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Knicks49c3,242$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.5847751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Knicks50c3,001$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings51c2,775$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings75c2,395$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Knicks48c2,255$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.492,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6177…86e0backed Kings52c1,990$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.22055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Knicks48c1,959$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.3258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…ef29backed Kings53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7912960.5%78 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings51c1,817$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.224,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf2…a258backed Knicks48c1,600$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7682040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks48c1,499$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.41,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Kings52c1,450$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69651753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kings52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.3165339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Kings52c1,058$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.6915756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Knicks49c1,050$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.6723250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Kings52c1,042$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Knicks48c919.47$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.3417250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Kings52c899.3$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.6641947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kings51c891.11$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.6429748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ff…2df5backed Knicks49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…7930backed Knicks49c816.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Kings53c797.48$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.4867252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Kings52c719.11$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.174841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Knicks48c699.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Knicks47c619.81$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.311,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Kings51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29416053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings50c536$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2681,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Knicks47c530.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Knicks48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Knicks45c441.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.146258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Knicks49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9252240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10c6…19b6backed Kings53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1888253.7%44 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf71f…3cafbacked Knicks48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Kings52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6223547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Kings50c381.95$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Kings52c380.04$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4285147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Kings53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3647856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Kings53c364.84$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4811755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Knicks48c339.1$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7753043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kings50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kings52c299.91$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.961,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c61…d900backed Kings53c284.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.912133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Kings53c267.83$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8812151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Knicks5c254.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3420536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks48c239$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.721,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings54c208.72$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.013,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb165…1f21backed Knicks48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Kings53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9468542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Kings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Kings53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6828251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Kings53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6835844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Kings53c179.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2540346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Knicks48c178.61$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.357439.2%29 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Knicks50c160.14$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Kings53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks49c125.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.532,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bd…8b0ebacked Kings52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.383345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…5685backed Kings52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.385836.2%21 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe81…d081backed Kings53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.213333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Kings52c108.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.92,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Knicks48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5074547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Knicks49c102.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9918343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc568…ecb7backed Kings53c101.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.622560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a17…5d26backed Knicks49c101.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55149%25 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed Kings50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Kings52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Kings52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1552246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Knicks51c94.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.112,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Knicks48c79.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3866143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Kings51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4310044%44 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Kings53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4711545.2%52 W · 63 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Kings52c72.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8411546.1%53 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Kings53c63.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6248451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Knicks49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…6fbabacked Kings52c57.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.767936.7%29 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e96…e9f8backed Kings53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Kings50c53.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8139756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfde0…c132backed Knicks48c51.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.644245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e56…35cbbacked Kings53c49.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.473557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed Kings53c47.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.377343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks47c47.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.376,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Kings53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1716947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Kings52c44.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.424548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Kings52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3135551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Knicks49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f80…e222backed Knicks49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Knicks49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Knicks49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Kings52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.235851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.