TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b56…eec8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+80.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Evansville: Caroline Dolehide vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.03
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+689.9%+$606.61
Bunschoten: Niels Visker vs Ryan Nijboerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.81
Swiss Open (Doubles): Jebens/Vocel vs Buse/Cervantesbacked Jebens/Vocel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
ITF Olomouc: Beatrise Zeltina vs Carolina Kuhlbacked Beatrise Zeltina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.57
ITF Corroios-Seixal: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Xinyu Gaobacked Xinyu Gao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.6
ITF Dallas: Andreja Petrovic vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$50.1
Newport: August Holmgren vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$64.74
Bastad: Moyuka Uchijima vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$39.79
ITF Cary: Momoko Kobori vs Yexin Mabacked Yexin Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$64
ITF Nivelles: Kimmer Coppejans vs Kirill Kivattsevbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
ITF Aix-Les-Bains: Isabella Maria Serban vs Aurora Zantedeschibacked Aurora Zantedeschi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$16.9
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinnbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
ITF Palma Del Rio: Elena Micic vs Ayla Aksubacked Ayla Aksu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuelbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+1,104.7%+$167.92
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Vit Koprivabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$9.87
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NAC Breda vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+70.9%+$27.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+62.1%+$38.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Netherlandsbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$409.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.