Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cary: Momoko Kobori vs Yexin Ma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c5b48e07f084efaf9678ae55a57611d34730b10135703feef0d38a48c73c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yexin Maof Momoko Kobori, Yexin Ma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Momoko Kobori | 39c | 4,999$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.61 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yexin Ma | 63c | 2,651$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.86 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Yexin Ma | 29c | 2,388$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.44 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Momoko Kobori | 72c | 1,838$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.51 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yexin Ma | 49c | 1,494$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Momoko Kobori | 31c | 1,266$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.75 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Momoko Kobori | 42c | 991.7$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.95 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yexin Ma | 63c | 976.41$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.56 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Momoko Kobori | 72c | 944.78$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.74 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yexin Ma | 57c | 707.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.92 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Momoko Kobori | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yexin Ma | 27c | 568.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.17 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Momoko Kobori | 68c | 554.27$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Momoko Kobori | 72c | 456.66$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.57 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yexin Ma | 61c | 436.07$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.07 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yexin Ma | 27c | 383.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.17 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Yexin Ma | 27c | 330.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.11 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Momoko Kobori | 19c | 300.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Momoko Kobori | 71c | 297$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.09 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yexin Ma | 80c | 295$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yexin Ma | 57c | 243.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yexin Ma | 61c | 233.17$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yexin Ma | 26c | 222.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…eec8backed Yexin Ma | 70c | 214.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yexin Ma | 28c | 180.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yexin Ma | 28c | 179$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Yexin Ma | 25c | 164.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yexin Ma | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Momoko Kobori | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Momoko Kobori | 73c | 146.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Yexin Ma | 25c | 145.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Momoko Kobori | 16c | 138.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Momoko Kobori | 67c | 124.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Momoko Kobori | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yexin Ma | 77c | 118.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Yexin Ma | 28c | 118.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yexin Ma | 31c | 96.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yexin Ma | 21c | 96.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Momoko Kobori | 24c | 91.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yexin Ma | 60c | 86.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Yexin Ma | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Momoko Kobori | 18c | 82.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yexin Ma | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Yexin Ma | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yexin Ma | 26c | 74.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yexin Ma | 29c | 74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yexin Ma | 63c | 60.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yexin Ma | 26c | 49.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Yexin Ma | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Yexin Ma | 26c | 46.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yexin Ma | 31c | 44.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Momoko Kobori | 38c | 41.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Yexin Ma | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Momoko Kobori | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Yexin Ma | 53c | 26.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Momoko Kobori | 72c | 26.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yexin Ma | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Yexin Ma | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Momoko Kobori | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Yexin Ma | 62c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.