TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iona Gaels vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 142.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$763,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$769,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c626,990$326,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326,033.2335945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c400,000$192,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c219,948$105,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,373.269142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over52c80,000$41,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,599.174047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c71,881$34,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,378.18246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over51c17,108$8,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,704.8774051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08016954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c5,152$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.751,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c4,972$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.3313154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under51c1,509$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.599856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c1,130$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.44,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over16c1,095$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.982,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,080$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.6612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50013851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over40c983.83$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.263,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over52c894.85$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.3215556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over32c848$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.042,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3155749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over48c623.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under49c599.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.993941%16 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Under50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c555$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.648855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c502.5$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.35,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under50c408.16$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0811159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1886848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20027045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over30c372$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.061,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under49c332.44$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5418046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over44c278.01$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.161,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8517258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over49c164.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7515156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under50c149.02$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.023666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over28c125.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.822,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over12c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Over50c110.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.391850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146016.7%10 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3064322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2a7…b3f8backed Under64c77.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4844955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4d…e0d0backed Under73c68.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18e…8ec3backed Under73c68.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.419100%9 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaa5…a759backed Under73c68.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.411070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951c…797abacked Under73c68.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.416100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f58…f645backed Under73c68.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc320…1266backed Under73c68.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.416100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Under52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.312766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ad4…d6c1backed Under74c67.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0243…f72cbacked Under74c67.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5193…2328backed Under75c66.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…46b9backed Under76c65.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.73887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca5c…54ffbacked Under76c65.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under49c65.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.419257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe884…b25ebacked Under77c64.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.87785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under50c64.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.327251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0b…00d8backed Under78c63.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick77cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f6…de70backed Under79c62.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.08862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Under50c58.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.453240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under50c56.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.257846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Under75c52.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.892254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x656b…afbcbacked Over50c50.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.251741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2634649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under50c49.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.962133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under50c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.515950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Under50c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Under49c48.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.775549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under49c48.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.777844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over46c46.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.462753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.84868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2028354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1881…85a2backed Under52c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.022245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b3…70c5backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked Under48c38.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under50c38.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.212560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c35.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.925,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.329442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under50c28.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.392540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Over51c25.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1512341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.