Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42e29187d35ffffd8134b7dff0e885eefe7f5bf336d6cbb6a1724106bbd638e5

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $285,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $284,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,384 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under	52c	164,289$85,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,865.17	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-7.7wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over	48c	95,638$45,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,906.19	277	50.9%141 W · 136 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	48c	17,500$8,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,400	356	52.8%188 W · 168 L	+15.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under	52c	17,076$8,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,184.52	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over	49c	15,417$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	53c	10,433$5,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,918.34	212	53.8%114 W · 98 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over	48c	10,417$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Over	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,699.99	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Over	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899.99	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	55c	9,915$5,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,497.81	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	53c	9,410$4,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,469.16	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	62c	8,978$5,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,446.34	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over	47c	8,092$3,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,825.96	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-5.0wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Under	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,449.99	21	81%17 W · 4 L	+6.0wins	+0.29per pick	52cpaid	+97.8%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over	47c	4,000$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,889.99	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over	49c	3,514$1,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,721.86	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	51c	3,279$1,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,607.46	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	45c	3,278$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475.09	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Over	48c	3,125$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	136	62.5%85 W · 51 L	+14.3wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+7.2wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	51c	2,800$1,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,372	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…2079backed Over	48c	2,764$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.72	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.41per pick	55cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under	50c	2,714$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,357.05	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over	30c	2,073$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.57	113	24.8%28 W · 85 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Under	60c	1,676$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.23	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	48c	1,494$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.35	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	51c	1,366$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.57	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over	48c	1,238$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over	47c	1,200$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over	47c	1,063$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.18	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.5wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa43…f80fbacked Over	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under	52c	1,008$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9da…81d7backed Over	48c	1,007$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.41	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked Over	48c	999.47$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.75	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over	47c	949.98$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.49	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over	47c	945$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.15	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	48c	800$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	369	56.9%210 W · 159 L	+20.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	48c	799.99$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over	20c	799.98$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over	48c	772.17$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.64	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	52c	769.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.23	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Under	53c	754.72$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.72	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over	46c	636.72$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.89	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Over	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under	52c	579.48$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.15	222	29.3%65 W · 157 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under	54c	555.56$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.56	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	48c	540$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.2	193	57.5%111 W · 82 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	48c	531.25$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	55c	523.58$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.61	740	56.9%421 W · 319 L	+46.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over	19c	522.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over	48c	520.83$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	150	25.3%38 W · 112 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over	46c	515.56$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.16	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over	50c	501.74$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	48c	420$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.6	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	48c	420$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.6	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	48c	420$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.6	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	+21.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6861…21f9backed Over	5c	409.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Over	47c	397.62$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.5	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over	49c	365.01$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.85	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over	49c	340$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.6	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	51c	332.76$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.32	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	30c	331.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.6	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	48c	330$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.4	375	54.9%206 W · 169 L	+14.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	48c	330$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.4	351	57.8%203 W · 148 L	+18.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under	65c	306.19$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.19	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	33c	304$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.32	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	379	58%220 W · 159 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Under	54c	299.98$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.99	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over	35c	299.91$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.97	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	54c	291.84$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.18	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over	48c	285.21$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.9	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over	49c	264.88$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.79	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+18%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	60c	263.35$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.34	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over	19c	254$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.48	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over	49c	250$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.04	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+4.0wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	350	56.9%199 W · 151 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	323	57.6%186 W · 137 L	+17.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	52c	250$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over	49c	245$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.05	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+3.4wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over	18c	243.9$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	89	19.1%17 W · 72 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-40%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over	48c	220.98$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.83	248	44.4%110 W · 138 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	48c	220$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.6	362	59.1%214 W · 148 L	+23.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-11.4wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf385…364cbacked Over	50c	201.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	292	59.2%173 W · 119 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event