Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x086897a4bb60059fbab3ffe3f7000ebe939b9e9e9207b3b7410069d090651f61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 52c | 3,350$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.24 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 1,616$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 29c | 1,248$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.08 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…0726backed Yes | 48c | 1,237$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed No | 54c | 857.27$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.39 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 597.87$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 46c | 451$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.97 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 46c | 378.52$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…d977backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 275.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 272.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…3152backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383b…93c2backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…5692backed Yes | 52c | 192.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 51c | 185.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 157.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed No | 53c | 149.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 54c | 140.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 51c | 135.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 53c | 117.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 53c | 112.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…644bbacked No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Yes | 34c | 64.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…99e9backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Yes | 39c | 54.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…be3abacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 45.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…290cbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -11.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd57…e1febacked Yes | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 32c | 37.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…05a1backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked No | 53c | 32.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 53c | 32.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 46c | 26.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 24.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…af73backed Yes | 48c | 22.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 63c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.