Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07cf8c8256030394bd3e5f9b12ff901cd1001e637a5bccb607564adb4732f33f

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $95,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,953 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	50,235$25,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,227.69	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over	33c	19,999$6,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,599.67	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over	72c	18,743$13,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,442.59	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over	45c	10,340$4,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,617.32	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	55c	9,113$4,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,117.02	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	50c	5,779$2,917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,861.65	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Over	75c	4,500$3,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,375	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	72cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	27c	2,599$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,897.69	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over	73c	2,500$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825	48	81.3%39 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	76cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	45c	1,996$905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,091.43	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfdb…a1b6backed Over	35c	1,869$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	57c	1,755$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.35	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	27c	1,500$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over	36c	1,500$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.96	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	27c	1,299$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.32	2,558	47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over	15c	1,250$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.5	89	19.1%17 W · 72 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-40%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under	26c	1,227$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.67	136	62.5%85 W · 51 L	+14.3wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	61c	1,212$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.06	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	57c	1,023$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.9	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over	47c	1,000$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-5.3wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	27c	856.52$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.26	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Over	74c	831.55$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.35	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	70cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9b6…896ebacked Over	74c	770.27$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over	45c	672.27$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over	6c	658$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	113	24.8%28 W · 85 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under	26c	611.4$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.75	222	29.3%65 W · 157 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Under	43c	607.06$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.02	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	73c	600$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	50c	550$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc4cbacked Over	74c	533.32$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	73c	505.09$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.35	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	40c	500.52$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.61	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Over	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	43c	499.99$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.99	265	48.3%128 W · 137 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under	27c	461.85$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.15	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over	44c	453.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	134	39.6%53 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over	73c	410.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.84	84	48.8%41 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e17…e4c6backed Over	56c	357.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbea6…64a8backed Over	31c	350.02$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc651…98efbacked Over	58c	344.97$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	28c	308.8$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.35	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	48c	293.34$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.32	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over	71c	281.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over	74c	270.27$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	74cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ea0…8f49backed Over	73c	240.99$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.92	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over	43c	233$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.19	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under	56c	219.99$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.8	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x291b…b19cbacked Over	73c	218.16$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.26	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-4.2wins	-0.16per pick	64cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over	59c	218$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.62	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	40c	213.33$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	742	56.9%422 W · 320 L	+46.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	35c	200.01$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.12	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	69cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over	21c	199.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7f…9127backed Over	51c	196.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Under	27c	196.44$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.44	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over	52c	192.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Over	63c	184.49$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.19	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	59c	182.24$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.5	1,938	42.5%823 W · 1,115 L	-41.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	28c	178.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under	26c	169.97$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.78	326	56.7%185 W · 141 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94ac…4881backed Over	73c	167.93$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.59	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over	25c	162.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	72c	159.99$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	396	51.5%204 W · 192 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over	74c	140$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.6	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	50c	136.14$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.07	409	42.1%172 W · 237 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e8…c577backed Over	73c	117.9$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	16	87.5%14 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	74cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under	59c	116.14$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.45	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01f7…30febacked Over	45c	108.8$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.96	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-5.5wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over	47c	107$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.81	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over	48c	103.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	29c	103.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	191	33%63 W · 128 L	-13.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	27c	102.18$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.71	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under	55c	101$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.92	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	73	26%19 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	148	45.9%68 W · 80 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x667d…052dbacked Over	72c	100$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	49c	99.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.99	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over	49c	99.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.99	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-12.8wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x87ba…e7eebacked Over	74c	99.84$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.88	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-5.7wins	-0.44per pick	59cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Over	20c	98.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2939…2e57backed Over	74c	95.37$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over	44c	90$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-5.9wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under	27c	89.32$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.2	144	56.3%81 W · 63 L	+13.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over	44c	89.02$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.17	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x894c…246abacked Over	74c	88.15$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…0742backed Under	26c	76.92$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.92	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+61.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4997…4bb6backed Over	76c	68.44$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.72	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	65cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over	74c	67.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	70cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	17c	66$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0f…6715backed Over	65c	60$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under	80c	60$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.2	58	65.5%38 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under	27c	59.32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Under	55c	54.73$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.65	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5this page
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event