Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a28c47c6f11d944796acf30829a80adcb95a1f80d5bfd2ededfb6665a86f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $668,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $670,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 562,804$292,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270,160.66 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 249,653$119,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,833.49 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 200,010$96,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,004.84 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 48c | 79,377$38,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,100.75 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 52c | 46,000$23,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,080 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.28 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…85a2backed Under | 0c | 10,560$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 10,500$5,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.08 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 10,247$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.38 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 8,399$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 5,764$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.72 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 4,249$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.42 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 52c | 2,060$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 2,054$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.21 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Under | 49c | 580$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 53c | 306.04$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 50c | 291.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 49c | 244.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…535abacked Over | 52c | 202.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed Under | 52c | 199$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Under | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 50c | 127.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 53c | 99.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…11b2backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 52c | 92.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 48c | 87.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 50c | 66.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 49c | 55.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 48c | 54.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 48c | 52.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…26febacked Under | 50c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Under | 49c | 48.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 53c | 47.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9d…3950backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 50c | 38.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 58c | 38.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Under | 48c | 37.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Over | 53c | 31.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 49c | 31.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 50c | 30.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Over | 51c | 30.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Under | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…4972backed Under | 46c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…eec8backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Over | 52c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Under | 50c | 22.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under | 50c | 20.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…18c4backed Over | 53c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…86f9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Under | 80c | 16.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 154.5this page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac BobcatsQuinnipiac Bobcats won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 153.5Over won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.