NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe565fc128b34bf4f219fe23c4fbd691531a1598d18f740e5db0a18ae16d77c3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Heat, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2165…f598backed Heat | 8c | 29,985$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.79 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 51c | 22,877$11,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,209.74 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Heat | 49c | 20,318$9,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,955.96 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 48c | 9,961$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,781.51 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Heat | 48c | 9,230$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.21 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bulls | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls | 52c | 8,423$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.27 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Heat | 48c | 7,655$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.88 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Heat | 49c | 6,200$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…be9abacked Heat | 49c | 5,714$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Bulls | 52c | 5,559$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.14 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Bulls | 52c | 4,390$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Bulls | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Heat | 48c | 3,971$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.09 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bulls | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Heat | 48c | 2,346$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.3 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Bulls | 52c | 2,209$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Bulls | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 48c | 1,835$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Heat | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Heat | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Heat | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 51c | 1,123$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.01 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Bulls | 52c | 1,098$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.08 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bulls | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 48c | 949.36$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Bulls | 52c | 825.83$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.64 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…8a29backed Bulls | 53c | 784.42$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.4 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bulls | 51c | 722.13$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.85 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 76c | 722.13$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Bulls | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bulls | 52c | 680$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bulls | 52c | 503.16$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.52 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Bulls | 53c | 500.59$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Bulls | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Heat | 49c | 409$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.41 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Heat | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Bulls | 52c | 400.92$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.44 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Heat | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8396…0de1backed Heat | 49c | 380.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Heat | 49c | 304.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Bulls | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Bulls | 52c | 295$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 51c | 259.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Heat | 14c | 220.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Bulls | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Bulls | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Bulls | 52c | 188.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 49c | 168.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Bulls | 52c | 138.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Bulls | 52c | 124.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Heat | 27c | 118.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Bulls | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Bulls | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Heat | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Bulls | 51c | 97.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…d900backed Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…d716backed Heat | 53c | 94.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Heat | 48c | 84.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…1d16backed Bulls | 52c | 84.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Heat | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Heat | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Heat | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Heat | 47c | 79.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe223…f02bbacked Heat | 49c | 70.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Bulls | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Bulls | 52c | 69.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Heat | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Heat | 47c | 65.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Bulls | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb55…5e8abacked Heat | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Heat | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Heat | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Bulls | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Bulls | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Heat | 47c | 56.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Bulls | 54c | 55.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Heat | 47c | 55.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Heat | 49c | 50.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Heat | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…71c9backed Bulls | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Heat | 49c | 45.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 52c | 45.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…2eefbacked Heat | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Heat | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Heat | 50c | 40.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Heat | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Heat | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Bulls | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…5741backed Bulls | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 252 | 43.7%110 W · 142 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Heat | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Bulls | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Heat | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Heat | 48c | 35.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)this page
- Heat vs. BullsHeat won
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.