NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96594cd0e3bb40760ccf4ddf9b2168b062723625b68b73ca1fff10342d9b7782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,530,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,546,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,530,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls | 31c | 74,100$22,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,971 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 38c | 56,184$21,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,496.85 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Heat | 69c | 47,000$32,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,570.1 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 68c | 45,736$31,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,712.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Heat | 69c | 37,252$25,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,548.06 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Bulls | 31c | 34,977$10,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,842.86 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Bulls | 31c | 32,000$9,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,959.98 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Heat | 69c | 29,980$20,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,293.78 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 69c | 26,435$18,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,194.8 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bulls | 31c | 24,605$7,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,574.16 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 30c | 23,688$7,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,106.5 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Bulls | 32c | 21,600$6,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Heat | 69c | 21,600$14,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,696 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 62c | 20,069$12,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,566.2 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Heat | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.99 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Bulls | 33c | 19,496$6,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,397.98 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 69c | 19,200$13,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Heat | 69c | 18,783$12,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,822.61 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Heat | 70c | 15,062$10,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.61 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Heat | 68c | 15,020$10,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.08 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Bulls | 31c | 15,005$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.55 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heat | 67c | 14,954$10,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.83 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Bulls | 31c | 14,847$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602.65 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Bulls | 31c | 14,398$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.79 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Bulls | 31c | 14,201$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402.29 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 31c | 13,705$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.72 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…fc74backed Heat | 70c | 13,633$9,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Heat | 69c | 12,800$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Bulls | 31c | 12,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Heat | 67c | 11,867$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.64 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 69c | 11,664$8,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.02 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Bulls | 31c | 10,430$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.3 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 69c | 9,864$6,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Heat | 67c | 9,059$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.75 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4331…39e5backed Bulls | 31c | 8,600$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 31c | 8,065$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Heat | 68c | 8,000$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.07 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Heat | 68c | 7,900$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.97 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Bulls | 31c | 7,899$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.67 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 31c | 7,849$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.24 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Heat | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…ae06backed Heat | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Heat | 69c | 6,957$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.52 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heat | 70c | 6,829$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.57 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 32c | 6,600$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Heat | 68c | 6,531$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.93 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Bulls | 31c | 6,290$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…e5d7backed Bulls | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Heat | 66c | 6,052$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.22 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bulls | 31c | 6,000$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.97 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 68c | 5,700$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.99 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 68c | 5,648$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls | 33c | 5,533$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.56 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…6a27backed Heat | 70c | 5,239$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Bulls | 32c | 5,200$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.32 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 68c | 5,145$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.55 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Heat | 69c | 5,042$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.31 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Bulls | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Heat | 69c | 4,930$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.71 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Heat | 70c | 4,888$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.55 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177f…956cbacked Heat | 69c | 4,789$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Heat | 69c | 4,727$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat | 68c | 4,640$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.25 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 66c | 4,550$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Heat | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed Heat | 68c | 4,400$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…8538backed Heat | 61c | 4,275$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bulls | 30c | 4,222$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.57 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…661ebacked Bulls | 39c | 4,148$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Heat | 69c | 4,046$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.35 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…c249backed Bulls | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Bulls | 35c | 3,976$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.01 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed Heat | 69c | 3,926$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…bd84backed Heat | 70c | 3,866$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bulls | 32c | 3,800$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Bulls | 34c | 3,676$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Bulls | 31c | 3,548$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Heat | 65c | 3,510$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.61 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…48d7backed Heat | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…c951backed Bulls | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Bulls | 32c | 3,426$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.23 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Bulls | 35c | 3,423$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.96 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…ad8ebacked Heat | 69c | 3,400$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…46febacked Heat | 69c | 3,300$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Bulls | 31c | 3,200$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Heat | 68c | 3,132$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bulls | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 68c | 3,103$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.04 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Bulls | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…f234backed Bulls | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…fe17backed Heat | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Bulls | 34c | 3,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…82d5backed Bulls | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…e490backed Bulls | 30c | 2,993$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Heat | 62c | 2,940$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.76 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Heat | 68c | 2,805$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.98 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…b539backed Bulls | 32c | 2,620$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…66e9backed Bulls | 31c | 2,576$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.48 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Heat | 70c | 2,576$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Bullsthis page
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.