NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb7b58ee374c0812805e2505ad16dfde67b1f77dcec19f2783a784cec6f79e01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Heat, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $758,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $838,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 49c | 419,230$205,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,807.82 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Heat | 51c | 310,901$158,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,558.79 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Heat | 15c | 100,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Heat | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…ded0backed Heat | 48c | 19,808$9,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,507.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 51c | 10,704$5,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Heat | 52c | 8,596$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Heat | 48c | 6,219$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.9 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Heat | 52c | 5,357$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 51c | 4,935$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.84 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Heat | 46c | 4,850$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Heat | 52c | 4,297$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.42 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heat | 48c | 4,184$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.1 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Heat | 52c | 4,027$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Bulls | 48c | 4,027$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.04 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Heat | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…ce8cbacked Heat | 46c | 2,834$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 50c | 2,577$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Heat | 46c | 1,952$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.97 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 47c | 1,763$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 51c | 1,621$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.11 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 34c | 1,621$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.28 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 51c | 1,596$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Heat | 33c | 1,532$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.64 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Bulls | 52c | 1,497$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.89 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 51c | 1,142$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.42 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Heat | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Heat | 53c | 1,066$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Heat | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Bulls | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Bulls | 48c | 949.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.99 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 47c | 920$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Heat | 52c | 836.78$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.67 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 48c | 806.13$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.94 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Bulls | 53c | 740.52$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.41 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Heat | 48c | 521.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 61.6%93 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Heat | 53c | 488.1$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bulls | 47c | 470.73$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.49 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Heat | 19c | 455.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Heat | 51c | 414.16$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 47c | 403$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heat | 46c | 399.54$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…07f7backed Heat | 46c | 370.15$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Heat | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Heat | 53c | 279.96$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.38 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Heat | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Heat | 46c | 218.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Heat | 48c | 214$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Heat | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulls | 55c | 205.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Heat | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Heat | 49c | 196.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…8f39backed Heat | 46c | 181.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Heat | 55c | 178.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Heat | 47c | 170.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Heat | 47c | 160.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Bulls | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…857fbacked Heat | 54c | 148.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ae…85d1backed Heat | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bulls | 46c | 138.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…1c06backed Heat | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Heat | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Heat | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Heat | 52c | 121.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…c6f4backed Bulls | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Bulls | 48c | 115.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Heat | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…5475backed Heat | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…d716backed Heat | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9756…a5d6backed Heat | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Heat | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Heat | 46c | 105.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bulls | 50c | 102.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Heat | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Heat | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Heat | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Heat | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…eb4fbacked Heat | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…7b2fbacked Heat | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Bulls | 51c | 98.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…82fcbacked Heat | 42c | 98.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Heat | 47c | 95.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Heat | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Heat | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Bulls | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked Heat | 46c | 88.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Heat | 46c | 86.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Heat | 46c | 86.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9229…830bbacked Heat | 46c | 83.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Heat | 49c | 83.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Heat | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Heat | 45c | 65.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Bulls | 47c | 65.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…eb13backed Heat | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)this page
- Heat vs. BullsHeat won
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.